Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
478 FNUS54 KEPZ 022120 FWFEPZ Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 320 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .DISCUSSION... Fire weather concerns will be low this week. We will have daily afternoon and evening chances for thunderstorms. Any of those storms could produce gusty and erratic outflow winds. Otherwise the winds this week will not cause much of a problem. Min RH`s will stay at or above 15% in the lowlands and at or above 20% in the mountains today through the weekend. Vent rates will range from fair to good. && ...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect sky cover amount... ...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows: Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft) Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft) Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft) Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft) Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established by the state of New Mexico. NMZ110-031230- Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ- 320 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....56-60. * Below 7500 ft....62-67. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....73-78 percent. * Below 7500 ft....73-78 percent. * 24 hr trend......15 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........4. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....73-78. * Below 7500 ft....81-86. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent. * Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent. * 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 10300 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (102200 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....56-60. * Below 7500 ft....61-66. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....51-56 percent. * Below 7500 ft....56-61 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........6. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....81-86. * Below 7500 ft....90-95. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....12-16 percent. * Below 7500 ft....12-16 percent. * 20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 14 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL increasing to 15800 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....North around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (159900 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 87 to 92. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 88 to 93. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ111-031230- Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ- 320 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....68-72. * 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. * Max humidity........70-75 percent. * 24 hr trend......10 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........3. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200, then numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. * Max temperature.....86-91. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........33-38 percent. * 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Fair (55900 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....68-72. * Max humidity........61-66 percent. * 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 17 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........6. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....96-101. * Min humidity........13-17 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 17 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 15100 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (145800 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the 90s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 96 to 100. West winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ112-031230- South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- 320 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....70-75. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. * Max humidity........62-67 percent. * 24 hr trend......15 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........3. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Isolated thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....88-93. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........28-32 percent. * 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....West around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (70700 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....70-75. * Max humidity........55-60 percent. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 7 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2. * Haines index........6. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....96-101. * Min humidity........13-18 percent. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 14900 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (128700 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 74. Highs 92 to 97. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 90 to 95. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 95 to 100. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ113-031230- Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ- 320 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....56-61. * Below 7500 ft....63-68. * 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....78-83 percent. * Below 7500 ft....69-74 percent. * 24 hr trend......9 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2. * Haines index........4. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200, then numerous showers and thunderstorms. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....71-76. * Below 7500 ft....80-85. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....46-51 percent. * Below 7500 ft....35-40 percent. * 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................1 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......6400-7600 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....West around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Good (70900 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....56-61. * Below 7500 ft....62-67. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent. * Below 7500 ft....63-68 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........5. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....78-83. * Below 7500 ft....89-94. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....24-29 percent. * Below 7500 ft....15-20 percent. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL increasing to 15300 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (133100 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 77 to 82. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 79 to 84. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 85 to 90. West winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ055-031230- Texas Fire Weather Zone 055 El Paso County- 320 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous showers in the evening. Scattered thunderstorms through the night. Scattered showers after midnight. * Min temperature.....76-80. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........55-60 percent. * 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........3. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated thunderstorms until 1200. Scattered showers. Scattered thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....92-96. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........26-30 percent. * 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 9 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (81900 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Numerous showers in the evening. Scattered thunderstorms through the night. Scattered showers after midnight. * Min temperature.....75-79. * Max humidity........53-58 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........3. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....98-102. * Min humidity........18-20 percent. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 7 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (79700 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs in the 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 97 to 101. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ056-031230- Texas Fire Weather Zone 056 Hudspeth County- 320 PM MDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....73-77. * 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. * Max humidity........58-63 percent. * 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........4. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated showers until 1200, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. * Max temperature.....91-96. * 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........27-32 percent. * 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (73200 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Numerous showers in the evening. Scattered thunderstorms through the night. Scattered showers after midnight. * Min temperature.....71-75. * Max humidity........62-67 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the west after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 8 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................4. * Haines index........3. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....94-99. * Min humidity........23-27 percent. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..North 7 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots. * Vent category.......Good (80100 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 88 to 93. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 88 to 93. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 93 to 98. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$