199
FNUS53 KDTX 120758
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
358 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

.DISCUSSION...Chances for showers and thunderstorms across all of
Southeast Michigan today as an upper level low passes over the
region. Dry weather returns Saturday. Warm and humid conditions will
be in place Sunday and Monday. Minimum RH values hover around 60
percent as a result.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-122115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
358 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms after 8 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (239).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph until early morning becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5610-6110 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (418).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-122115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
358 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 8 am until
                    1400, then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4040-4540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (238).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming south up to 5
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5120-5620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (340).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-122115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
358 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 8 am until 2 pm. Chance of
                    showers after 8 am. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4230-4730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming southeast.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (268).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....83-88.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5380-5880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (375).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 60. Highs
in the upper 70s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s.

$$

DRK