Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
450 FNUS53 KDTX 021932 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 332 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .DISCUSSION...An increase in warmth and humidity brings the next chance of showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday. Wind speeds increase Wednesday with southwesterly gusts in excess of 25 mph possible during the afternoon. Warm and muggy conditions continue Thursday with lighter westerly winds. Scattered to numerous showers and storms become likely Friday as the next warm front lifts through the region. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-031415- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 332 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 pm, then cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....74-80. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........40-50 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3750-4250 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (663). Pcpn amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers until 2 am, then chance of showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....64-69. 24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer. Max humidity........79-89 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....South around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....80-84. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........54-64 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4040-4540 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph becoming west early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (747). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Min temperature.....62-67. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Max humidity........89-99 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-031415- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 332 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....74-78. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........44-54 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3910-4410 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (685). Pcpn amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of showers. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....64-69. 24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer. Max humidity........76-84 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32). Pcpn amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....80-85. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........58-68 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3280-3780 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (794). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Min temperature.....61-66. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........90-99 percent. 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-031415- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 332 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........36-46 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3990-4490 ft agl. Transport winds.....South around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (706). Pcpn amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Min temperature.....66-70. 24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer. Max humidity........82-92 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming around 10 mph after midnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl. Transport winds.....South around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (29). Pcpn amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....82-88. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Min humidity........54-64 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3930-4430 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (900). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min temperature.....64-68. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Max humidity........87-97 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. $$ TF