Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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790
FNUS53 KDTX 030728
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.DISCUSSION...An increase in warmth and humidity brings the next
chance of showers and thunderstorms today. Wind speeds with
southwesterly gusts in excess of 25 mph possible this afternoon.
Warm and muggy conditions continue Thursday with lighter westerly
winds. Scattered to numerous showers and storms become likely Friday
as the next low reaches the region.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-032130-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms until 2 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4750-5250 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (875).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6020-6520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (663).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-032130-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 8 am, then chance of showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming west in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4280-4780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (737).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5330-5830 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (618).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-032130-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
328 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 8 am until
                    1400, then chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    until 5 pm, then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....82-88.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4090-4590 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (880).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........83-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....84-88.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (594).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s.

$$

KDK