Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
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817
FXXX12 KWNP 030031
DAYDIS

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2024 Jul 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 3729 (S05W12,
Eai/beta-gamma-delta) and a Region just beyond the SE limb near S17 were
responsible for multiple low level C-class flares. The largest was a
C2.6 at at 02/0910 UTC from just beyond the SE limb. Slight growth was
observed in Region 3729 and it developed a delta configuration in its
leader spots. The rest of the spotted regions were either stable or
gradually
decaying.

No new Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph
imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be low over 03-05 Jul with a chance for
M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels
and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal
to moderate levels on 03-05 Jul and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux
is expected to persist at background levels.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters decreased to nominal levels. Solar wind speed
decreased from 415 km/s to near 378km/s. Total field was steady at 2-3
nT while the Bz component was between +/-3 nT. Phi angle was
predominantly positive.

.Forecast...
Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to return on 03-04 Jul due
to the anticipated arrival of multiple CMEs that left the Sun between
26-29 Jun.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

.Forecast...
Unsettled to active levels are anticipated on 03-04 Jul with isolated
minor storm periods likely on 03 Jul due to the anticipated arrival of
multiple CMEs that departed the Sun between 26-29 Jun. Quiet to
unsettled levels are expected on 05 Jul.