153
FNUS28 KWNS 062158
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0456 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024

Valid 081200Z - 141200Z

A large-scale ridge will shift slowly eastward across the Great
Basin through much of the extended forecast period. This will
promote a continuation of above-average temperatures and low RH
across much of the West, where fuels continue to dry.

On the western periphery of the ridge, a belt of moderate midlevel
southerly flow (with subtle/embedded northward-moving perturbations)
will persist across CA into western NV, favoring periods of breezy
surface winds in terrain-favored areas each day. While this will
likely yield elevated to locally critical conditions across the
region (given the hot/dry conditions), confidence in any more than
locally critical conditions is too low to add probabilities at this
time. However, highlights may eventually be needed as confidence in
the exact timing/evolution of the embedded perturbations/stronger
midlevel flow increases.

Farther north, west-southwesterly midlevel flow will strengthen
across the Northwest on Day 5/Wednesday -- between the large-scale
ridge and a midlevel trough moving into British Columbia. As a
result, surface winds will strengthen amid a hot/dry boundary layer
along/east of the Cascades in WA and OR. 40-percent Critical
probabilities have been added for these areas, and higher
probabilities may eventually be needed as forecast confidence
increases. Enhanced midlevel west-southwesterlies will persist
across the Northwest through the remainder of the forecast period,
with the potential for continued fire-weather concerns.

..Weinman.. 07/06/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$