182
FXUS61 KCLE 021737
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
137 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak cold front will move south across the area on Thursday,
followed by building high pressure for Friday into Saturday. Another
cold front will approach the region from the west on Sunday into
Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Main concern for the near term period will be isolated showers and
thunderstorms along and ahead of a NW to SE-oriented cold front
Thursday afternoon and evening, with development expected generally
along and west of the I-77 corridor. For the most part, coverage
should be limited to isolated showers and storms with dry low and
mid-levels. For today (Wednesday), main concern will be the
development of upstream showers and thunderstorms across eastern
Michigan which may eventually work their way across the central and
eastern Lake Erie basins later this evening into the overnight.

Seasonable temperatures are expected on Thursday with highs
generally in the mid-80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
The latest guidance favors a dry Fourth of July for the area as
upper-level ridging and high pressure build into the region.
Precipitation chances will not be 0% for Friday afternoon and
evening, particularly across Northwest Ohio, though feel comfortable
in precluding mentionable PoPs at this time (less than 15%).
Otherwise, the rest of the short term period will feature quiet
weather and a warming trend as temperatures in the upper 80s on
Friday increase into the upper 80s to lower 90s by Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The warmest day of the long term period will be Sunday with high
temperatures in the lower 90s across the board and heat indices
approaching the mid to upper 90s and perhaps briefly touching 100
degrees at times. As the low-levels begin to moisture ahead of an
approaching cold front from the west, precipitation chances may
begin to increase across Northwest Ohio, particularly Sunday evening
and overnight. Precipitation chances will be the highest on Monday
when scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected
along and ahead of a cold front. Currently not outlooked for any
strong to severe storms, but could see future inclusion if trends
persist over the next few forecast iterations.

Tuesday should see a reprieve from the rainy pattern as brief high
pressure builds behind the front. However, the active pattern may
return on Wednesday as another upper-level trough will move east
through the Upper Midwest, introducing more opportunities for
afternoon and evening showers and storms.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Wednesday THROUGH Monday/...
VFR is observed areawide and is expected to continue through the
rest of the TAF period. FEW/SCT cumulus clouds expected during
the afternoon today and Thursday with cloud bases generally in
the 4-8kft range. Isolated showers and thunderstorms southwest
of a Cleveland-Youngstown line is possible after 18Z Thursday.

Outlook...VFR is expected Thursday night through Saturday. Non-
VFR may return in scattered showers and thunderstorms on Sunday
afternoon through Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
Relatively quiet conditions are expected on Lake Erie for the
foreseeable future. There may be a little bit of afternoon
choppiness Wednesday through Friday with mild lake breeze
development. Southwest flow of around 10-15 knots develops on
Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Kahn
NEAR TERM...Kahn
SHORT TERM...Kahn
LONG TERM...Kahn
AVIATION...Saunders
MARINE...Saunders