Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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515
FNUS74 KBMX 081237
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for 721...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
737 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on July 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Hot and humid conditions will continue through tomorrow, with
scattered to numerous afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Best
rain chances today will be after 2 PM through 7 PM. Better rain
chances on Tuesday afternoon. Winds remain light through Tuesday.
Drier air will move into the area on Wednesday which will
provide lower afternoon RH values for the rest of the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the morning. Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 60 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3 until 1600, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 37.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  40  33  30  30  39  49  58  67  83  83
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
CWR.............10  10  10  20  20  20  50  50  50  60  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   4   4
Temp............76  78  84  87  90  92  94  95  93  92  90
RH..............100 97  80  68  62  56  54  53  54  56  60
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind dir..210 220 230 230 220 200 190 190 200 200 200
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.2 1.9 2.8 4.0 4.8 5.4 5.4 5.1 4.7 4.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   9
Dispersion idx..3   3   3   2   24  28  31  25  24  28  37
LVORI...........6   6   6   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
CWR.................60 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
LAL.................4 until 1900, then 3 until 2200, then 2 until
                    0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast 7
                    to 9 mph in the late evening and overnight,
                    then shifting to the south 9 to 10 mph
                    overnight.
Dispersion index....39 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........78  72  67  61  59  55  53  49  42  40  37  40
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............60  40  40  40  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............4   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............89  86  82  80  78  78  77  77  76  76  76  76
RH..............64  70  79  91  94  94  97  97  100 97  100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind dir..190 190 170 120 100 110 140 150 160 170 170 170
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  8   6   8   8   8   7   9   9   10  10  9
Dispersion idx..39  16  0   0   5   5   3   4   4   5   5   4
LVORI...........1   4   4   4   7   7   7   9   9   9   9   9

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
                    Showers and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 80 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 2 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 20 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 58 late in the morning increasing
                    to 86 early in the afternoon decreasing to 65
                    decreasing to 54 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  38  38  38  45  58  71  84  86  88  90  82
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  10  10  10  20  20  20  80  80  80  80  80
LAL.............1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............76  76  78  82  85  87  88  90  91  90  89  87
RH..............97  100 97  85  77  70  68  62  60  62  64  68
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind dir..170 170 180 190 190 190 190 190 190 180 180 180
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.8   8   10  10  10  11  11  12  12  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.7 2.5 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.6 4.3 4.0 3.7 2.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  14  15  15  16  17  17  17  16  16  16
Dispersion idx..5   5   6   7   20  58  86  69  67  60  57  51
LVORI...........9   6   6   6   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Aaron
Requested by...SAIRY NEAL
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417531.6/BMX
.DELDT 07/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0