Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
018 FNUS53 KAPX 030911 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 511 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 ...Rain diminishing this morning... .DISCUSSION...A cold front crosses northern Michigan from west to east this morning. Showers will diminish as well, giving way to partly to mostly sunny skies this afternoon. There could be a stray shower this evening, but no precipitation is expected on Thursday. Temperatures will be warmer than yesterday, though with fairly high humidity, and a breezy southwest to west wind. Expect similar temperatures on the Fourth, though with lighter winds. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-032200- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 511 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Numerous rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 58-63 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (780). Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.12 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of showers. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (47). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in . .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 58-63 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (482). Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-032200- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 511 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....82-87...except 71-76 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........42-47 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (979). Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in . .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Min Temperature.....61-66. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 76-81 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (53). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....81-86...except around 71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler...except 7 degrees cooler near the coast. Min Humidity........42-47 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (545). Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . $$ MIZ020-025>027-032200- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 511 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....78-83...except 64-69 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........53-58 percent. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 9 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (671). Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in . .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of showers. Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (44). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84...except 64-69 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. Min Humidity........46-51 percent. 24 HR Trend......5 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (417). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ031>033-032200- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 511 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....78-83...except 71-76 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer...except 7 degrees warmer near the coast. Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 64-69 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (749). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in . .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Min Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (44). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....79-84. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 57-62 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (534). Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-032200- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 511 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Max Temperature.....81-86. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (1184). Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Min Temperature.....60-65. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts up to 16 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (52). Mixing Height.......500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .INDEPENDENCE DAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max Temperature.....82-87. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Min Humidity........41-46 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (737). Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ .EXTENDED... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ JZ