Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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836
FNAK51 PAFC 022247
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
247 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.DISCUSSION...

A weak ridge will slowly build over Southcentral over the next
couple days, yielding slightly warmer and clearer conditions from
this afternoon into Wednesday. However, moist southerly flow in
the low levels will limit the degree of warming and keep RH values
relatively high. By Thursday (July 4th), the pattern shifts in
a cloudier and wetter direction, with steady light rain spreading
southward in the afternoon and evening.


AKZ101-031730-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
247 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         NONE         SHWRS        RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           0            20           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   47 (-1)      63 (+2)      47           61
RH % (24H TREND)   89 (-10)     55-70 (-2)   81-88        52-71
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 1-5       W 2-6        W 1-5        S 3-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              2679                      3338
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  7                     S  9
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               17424                     29450

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            20           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   50 (-3)      66 (0)       52           65
RH % (24H TREND)   81-87 (-3)   55-61 (+1)   79-86        55-63
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 3-8       W 3-8        W 2-7        SW 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              2953                      3285
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  7                     SW  9
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               19901                     32580

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-031730-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
247 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           20           30           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   46 (0)       57-63 (+3)   46           60
RH % (24H TREND)   91 (0)       58-73 (-2)   80-88        58-75
20FTWND(MPH)       W 2-7        W 3-9        W 2-9        SW 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3611                      3126
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  8                     SW  9
CWR                0            0            0            20
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               31185                     34992

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           0            20           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   49 (-2)      68 (+1)      51           67
RH % (24H TREND)   88 (-6)      51-57 (0)    80-86        54-61
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 4-9       SW 4-8       SW 4-8       SW 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4064                      3677
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  9                     S  8
CWR                0            0            0            10
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               38027                     37609

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-031730-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
247 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   45 (-1)      62-69 (+3)   47           64-70
RH % (24H TREND)   88-95 (+1)   45-59 (-4)   83-90        44-57
20FTWND(MPH)       W 1-6        W 1-6        W 1-6        SW 4-13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4522                      5021
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  8                     SW 17
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               32924                     80568

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   47 (+2)      58-64 (+1)   48           59-66
RH % (24H TREND)   89-95 (0)    52-65 (+1)   80-87        52-61
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 3-9       SW 4-11      SW 5-12      SW 6-15 G23
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3615                      3972
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW 13                     SW 18
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               31590                     70433

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-031730-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
247 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           0            0            30
TEMP (24H TREND)   46 (+2)      52-64 (-1)   46           50-63
RH % (24H TREND)   84-91 (0)    49-65 (-4)   83-90        46-66
20FTWND(MPH)       S 0-5        S 0-5        LGT/VAR      S 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3852                      3883
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  6                      S  9
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               20246                     39072

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        NONE         SHWRS        RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           0            20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   42-48 (+1)   51-59 (0)    48           56
RH % (24H TREND)   88-96 (0)    64-82 (0)    87-96        61-86
20FTWND(MPH)       S 0-5        S 1-5        S 0-5        S 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              2115                      2337
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  7                      S  8
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               14212                     18472

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-031730-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
247 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.ABOVE 2500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHWRS        SHWRS        RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           50           60           70
TEMP (24H TREND)   38-46 (+1)   47-65 (+4)   37-45        45-62
RH % (24H TREND)   85-93 (0)    40-76 (-6)   79-88        49-80
20FTWND(MPH)       W 0-8        SW 2-14      W 2-14       SW 3-14
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4870                      4626
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W 12                      SW 10
CWR                0            0            0            30
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               77925                     47460

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 2500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHWRS        SHWRS        RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           20           50           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   50 (0)       73 (+5)      49           64-70
RH % (24H TREND)   76-87 (-9)   42 (-9)      72-83        42-48
20FTWND(MPH)       S 3-9        S 3-12       SW 4-12      S 3-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5013                      5072
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW 10                     S 13
CWR                0            0            0            10
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               76132                     69345

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-031730-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
247 PM AKDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHWRS        RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           40           60           90
TEMP (24H TREND)   48 (-1)      58-64 (0)    47           53-59
RH % (24H TREND)   81-87 (-5)   50-63 (-3)   79-86        60-76
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 6-13      SW 6-14      SW 5-12      SW 4-12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4329                      3151
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW 13                     SW 10
CWR                0            0            20           50
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               58998                     37812

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            0            30           90
TEMP (24H TREND)   49 (-2)      69 (0)       50           61-68
RH % (24H TREND)   80-89 (-3)   45-53 (0)    79-87        55-68
20FTWND(MPH)       S 6-10       S 6-11       S 4-10       S 3-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4651                      3602
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S 12                      S 10
CWR                0            0            0            30
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               51727                     47340

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY, RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$