Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNAK52 PAFG 012212
FWFWCZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.DISCUSSION...
This evening will see continuing hot and dry weather for Western
Alaska, with temperatures in most of the Western Interior rising
into the 70s and 80s and minimum relative humidity values falling
into the 30s and 40s percent. South of Huslia, extensive cloud
cover and in some areas, rain, will keep temperatures lower, with
some areas only rising into the 60s and minimum RH values
bottoming out in the 60s and 70s percent. Winds will generally be
from the west in the 10-15 mph range. Isolated thunderstorms will
be possible in the southwestern Interior in areas with enough
clearing to permit surface heating.

Tonight into Tuesday will see a significant pattern change as a
front over eastern Russia moves in, bringing widespread wetting
rains and dropping temperatures in most of the Western Interior
from the 70s and 80s into the 60s and 70s as remnant upper-level
high-pressure ridging gets pushed to the south. With increasing
moisture, minimum RH values will generally be in the 40s percent
or higher, with a few places possibly reaching the upper 30s.
Western Alaska, especially from Galena to Nome and north, will see
increasing southwesterly winds mostly in the 15 to 20 mph range
with gusts up to 30 mph, with higher winds likely on the Seward
Peninsula and in the terrain. The front will usher in more stable
air and thus limit thunderstorm potential over the ensuing days.

Wednesday onward will see widespread rainfall spread southwest and
temperatures continue to fall, with most areas only making it
into the 50s and 60s Wednesday and mostly just the 50s on
Thursday. Minimum RH values will rise well above critical
thresholds. Increased southwesterly winds will continue on
Wedneday before dropping and becoming more southerly on Thursday.

AKZ928-021615-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including Huslia and Hughes
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Rain
Chance precip (%)     20           40           80           80
Temp (24h trend)      48-58 (-1)   64-74 (-11)  43-53        52-62
RH % (24h trend)      79-94 (+11)  35-50 (+1)   85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 7-11 G20   SW 13-17 G31 SW 14-18 G31 SW 14-18 G34
CWR                   5            0            50           80
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms south and east of Huslia today.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of smoke. Areas of fog. Lows 42 to 52.
Highs 52 to 62. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 58 to 68. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 58 to 68. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ924-021615-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk,
and Shaktoolik
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Rain
Chance precip (%)     20           30           80           80
Temp (24h trend)      48-55 (-5)   61-71 (-9)   43-53        53-63
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (+9)   ABV 40 (+1)  85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 7-11 G22  SW 13-17 G30 SW 14-18 G31 SW 16-20 G35
CWR                   10           0            40           80
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms south of Koyuk today.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 52 to 62.
South winds around 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 55 to 65. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 55 to 65. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ925-021615-
Yukon Delta Coast-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, Nunam Iqua, and Chevak
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        None         Showers      Rain
Chance precip (%)     20           0            30           50
Temp (24h trend)      42-52 (-4)   59-69 (-6)   42-51        52-62
RH % (24h trend)      90-100 (+1)  ABV 40 (+2)  88-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 6-10 G19   SW 12-16 G28 SW 13-17 G28 S 14-18 G31
CWR                   10           0            0            10
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms east and northeast of Chevak,
including the YK Delta, today.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 43 to 50. Highs 48 to 58.
South winds around 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain. Lows 44 to 49. Highs 50 to 60.
Southwest winds around 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 43 to 48. Highs 48 to 58. Southwest
winds around 20 mph.

$$

AKZ926-021615-
Lower Yukon River-
Including Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station, and Marshall
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        None         Showers      Rain
Chance precip (%)     20           0            20           50
Temp (24h trend)      48-56 (-2)   61-71 (-2)   45-52        55-65
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (-4)   ABV 40 (0)   84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 4-8        SW 9-13 G24  SW 10-14 G25 S 10-14 G26
CWR                   10           0            0            10
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 43 to 50. Highs 47 to 57.
South winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows 44 to 50. Highs 52 to 62. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 43 to 50. Highs 50 to 60. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ929-021615-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance precip (%)     40           10           60           70
Temp (24h trend)      47-57 (-3)   66-76 (-4)   43-53        58-68
RH % (24h trend)      83-98 (+6)   35-50 (-18)  85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 7-11 G21  SW 11-15 G27 SW 11-15 G27 SW 13-17 G31
CWR                   10           5            10           50
LAL                   2            2            1            1

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms southeast of Ruby early Tuesday morning.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of smoke. Areas of fog. Lows 42 to 52.
Highs 53 to 63. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 57 to 67. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 58 to 68. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ930-021615-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers      Rain
Chance precip (%)     20           10           20           50
Temp (24h trend)      45-55 (-1)   64-74 (+1)   45-55        58-68
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (-11)  37-52 (-20)  84-99        ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 4-8 G18   SW 9-13 G24  SW 10-14 G24 SW 12-16 G28
CWR                   10           5            0            10
LAL                   2            2            1            1

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms east early Tuesday morning.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 51 to 61.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 55 to 65. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 55 to 65. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ951-021615-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including Farewell Lake
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Rain
Chance precip (%)     40           30           20           40
Temp (24h trend)      43-53 (-1)   63-73 (+2)   44-54        64-74
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (-6)   36-51 (-8)   81-96        39-54
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 3-7       SW 6-10 G21  SW 6-10 G21  SW 7-11 G23
CWR                   20           0            0            0
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 60 to
70. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 61 to 71. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 60 to 70. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ952-021615-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None         Rain
Chance precip (%)     30           10           0            40
Temp (24h trend)      44-54 (-1)   64-74 (+4)   45-55        63-73
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (-7)   36-51 (-18)  83-98        40-55
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 4-8 G17   SW 7-11 G21  SW 7-11 G21  SW 9-13 G25
CWR                   10           5            0            0
LAL                   2            2            1            1

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms west of Nikolai today and northeast
of Nikolai early Tuesday morning.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain likely. Areas of fog. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 57 to
67. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 56 to 66. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 58 to 68. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ923-021615-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Rain
Chance precip (%)     0            60           70           70
Temp (24h trend)      40-50 (-4)   52-62 (-20)  37-47        49-59
RH % (24h trend)      83-98 (+13)  40-55 (+16)  85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 7-11 G22  S 18-22 G37  SW 18-22 G39 SW 15-19 G34
CWR                   0            40           60           60
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 36 to 46. Highs 49 to 59.
South winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows 33 to 43. Highs
55 to 65. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows 33 to
43. Highs 50 to 60. South winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ918-021615-
Northern Seward Peninsula-
Including Deering, Buckland, and Candle
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers      Rain
Chance precip (%)     0            60           70           70
Temp (24h trend)      42-52 (0)    55-65 (-14)  41-50        53-63
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (+9)  ABV 40 (+18) 86-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          SW 6-10 G22  SW 19-23 G37 S 19-23 G38  SW 15-19 G34
CWR                   0            30           60           60
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 41 to 50. Highs 51 to 61.
South winds around 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 55 to 65.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows 40 to
50. Highs 53 to 63. South winds around 15 mph.

$$

AKZ916-021615-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip type           None         Showers      Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     0            70           90           90
Temp (24h trend)      44-54 (-1)   55-65 (-13)  42-51        50-60
RH % (24h trend)      85-100 (+5)  ABV 40 (+19) 88-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 7-11 G21   S 15-19 G30  S 16-20 G31  SW 8-12 G23
CWR                   0            40           80           80
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 43 to 51. Highs 49 to 59.
South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 54 to 64. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 53 to 63. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ919-021615-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Rain
Chance precip (%)     10           60           90           90
Temp (24h trend)      50-60 (0)    62-72 (-13)  40-50        54-64
RH % (24h trend)      82-97 (+2)   33-48 (+9)   87-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 8-12 G23   SW 13-17 G27 SW 13-17 G29 SW 8-12 G24
CWR                   5            10           70           90
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms today east of Shungnak.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 56 to 66.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 60 to 70. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 60 to 70. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ913-021615-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including Walker Lake
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
Precip type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Rain
Chance precip (%)     10           70           90           90
Temp (24h trend)      49-59 (-1)   61-71 (-15)  40-50        55-65
RH % (24h trend)      79-94 (-6)   35-50 (+11)  85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 8-12 G19   SW 14-18 G32 S 14-18 G32  SW 10-14 G25
CWR                   5            40           80           80
LAL                   2            1            1            1

Remarks...Isolated thunderstorms today east.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 56 to 66.
South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 60 to 70. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 61 to 71. South winds
around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ914-021615-
Noatak Valley-
Including Noatak and Red Dog Mine
212 PM AKDT Mon Jul 1 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain         Rain
Chance precip (%)     0            80           90           90
Temp (24h trend)      40-50 (-5)   51-61 (-17)  36-46        47-57
RH % (24h trend)      84-99 (+9)   ABV 40 (+20) 85-100       ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 8-12 G22   S 12-16 G30  S 14-18 G31  SW 7-11 G22
CWR                   0            70           90           70
LAL                   1            1            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY...Rain. Areas of fog. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 48 to 58.
South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 52 to 62. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 51 to 61. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$