524
FNUS75 KTWC 140030
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Freeman...DFFM
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
530 PM MST Sat Jul 13 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on July 14.

.DISCUSSION...

Moisture will increase over the weekend, which will result in
increasing thunderstorm chances as well as increasing RH values.
General winds will be light. However, there will be the threat of
thunderstorm outflow winds which can exceed 50 mph and result in
extreme fire behavior and/or a change in the direction of fire spread.

High temperature Sunday will be around 95-100 degrees with minimum
RH around 25-30 percent. Winds will be from the west shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon hours at 10-15 MPH. Chance for thunderstorms
to develop in the afternoon to late evening hours. Overnight, low
temperature will be around 70-75 degrees with maximum RH of 65-70 percent.
Winds will be from the west at 5-10 MPH. If thunderstorms develop at or
near the incident location, expect gusty erratic outflow winds that can
exceed 50 MPH.

Monday, high temperatures will be around 95-100 degrees with minimum RH
of 25-30 percent. Winds will be from the west at 10-15 MPH. There is a
chance for thunderstorms to develop in the afternoon to evening hours. If
thunderstorms develop at or near the incident location, expect gusty erratic
outflow winds that can exceed 50 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent increasing to 60 percent in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....94-97 degrees.
Min humidity........28-31 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 12 knots.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
                    the evening, then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent decreasing to 20 percent overnight.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....72-75 degrees.
Max humidity........66-69 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 13 knots.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....94-97 degrees.
Min humidity........27-30 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 11 to 13 knots.

$$
Forecaster...MALARKEY
Requested by...PJ Lingley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417882.4/TWC
.DELDT 07/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL plingley@dffm.az.gov

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