358
FXUS64 KSJT 011945
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
245 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 234 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

A heat advisory had been issued for portions of the Big Country
and Concho Valley Tuesday afternoon. This is mainly for
temperatures reaching highs of 105. Heat indices are expected to
be slightly lower, as dew points fall to 55 to 60 in the
afternoon. Lows tonight will mainly 75 to 80 degrees.

Otherwise, south winds will be gusty at times Tuesday, bringing
slightly elevated fire weather danger, particularly west of a San
Angelo to Sweetwater to Roby line. Again, dry conditions expected
under upper ridging.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 213 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

An upper level ridge centered across the southeast U.S. will
dominate the weather across West Central Texas through at least
Thursday. This will result in above normal temperatures and dry
conditions. Highs on Tuesday will likely be near or exceed Heat
Advisory criteria for much of the Concho Valley and Big Country,
with highs between 103 and 106. Elsewhere, expect highs between 100
and 103. More of the same for Wednesday, although highs should be a
degree or two less hot. Highs on Thursday, Fourth of July, will
be in the upper 90s to near 104.

On Friday, the aforementioned upper level ridge shifts a bit farther
east, while an upper level trough tracks across the Northern and
Central Plains. This will send a cold front south into West
Central Texas late Friday into Saturday. The front may be a focus
for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms late Friday
into Saturday. For now, PoPs were kept in the slight chance to
chance category. Highs Friday and Saturday will be several degrees
cooler than what is expected earlier in the week. Expect highs in
the mid 90s to near 100.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

VFR for the next 24 hours. A scattered layer around 2000 FT
is possible at KSOA and KJCT towards sunrise, but any ceiling
would be brief, it it occurs. Otherwise, gusty south winds 16-21
KTS are expected through Tuesday, mid morning and afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     78 103  78 101 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  76 105  77 103 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    75 101  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   76 101  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  78 104  78 102 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       74  99  74  99 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       75 100  75  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for Coke-Concho-
Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Nolan-Runnels-Shackelford-Sterling-
Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....Daniels
AVIATION...04