367
FXUS64 KSJT 012349 AAA
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
649 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 234 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

A heat advisory had been issued for portions of the Big Country
and Concho Valley Tuesday afternoon. This is mainly for
temperatures reaching highs of 105. Heat indices are expected to
be slightly lower, as dew points fall to 55 to 60 in the
afternoon. Lows tonight will mainly 75 to 80 degrees.

Otherwise, south winds will be gusty at times Tuesday, bringing
slightly elevated fire weather danger, particularly west of a San
Angelo to Sweetwater to Roby line. Again, dry conditions expected
under upper ridging.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 246 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

Upper level ridging will remain in control over west central Texas
through the 4th of July holiday. Highs on Wednesday and Thursday
will top out in the upper 90s to around 105 degrees. Overnight
lows will only drop into the mid to upper 70s. By Friday and
Saturday, the upper level ridge begins to shift to the east of
the region. Meanwhile, an upper level trough will move down into
the Plains sending a cold front into our area. The combination of
the upper level weakness aloft and the surface boundary will lead
to a chance of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms on
Friday and Saturday. Will maintain the slight chance to chance of
PoPs from the previous forecast and cross our fingers that rain
chances continue to improve as we go through the week. The good
news is that with the weakening of the upper ridge we could see
temperatures only in the lower 90s or the end of the week!

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 647 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

Expect VFR conditions to prevail at our TAF sites through the next
24 hours, with generally clear skies. Patchy low cloud development
could occur early Tuesday morning over parts of the Edwards
Plateau and Hill Country, but the bulk of this is expected to stay
south of our TAF sites. Initially gusty south or south-southeast
winds this evening will decrease by early tonight, with winds
veering to the south overnight. On Tuesday, south or south-
southwest winds will increase to 10-15 knots by 15Z-16Z, and these
wind speeds will continue through the afternoon from the south.
Expect wind gusts 21-23 knots at KABI/KSJT, and 18-19 knots at our
southern terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     78 103  78 101 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  76 105  77 103 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    75 101  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   76 101  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  78 104  78 102 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       74  99  74  99 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       75 100  75  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for Coke-Concho-
Fisher-Haskell-Irion-Jones-Nolan-Runnels-Shackelford-Sterling-
Taylor-Throckmorton-Tom Green.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...19