Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY
860
FNUS75 KRIW 170136
FWSRIW
Spot Forecast for Bad Water...BLM CAD
National Weather Service Riverton WY
736 PM MDT Fri Aug 16 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MDT on August 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service
.DISCUSSION...
Clear skies will continue tonight into Saturday morning. Winds,
5-10 mph, will continue through the rest of the night, turning
more easterly by 2300. RH recovery will be poor through much of
the night, possibly reaching 40% by sunrise. This will lead to
critical RH values occurring by 1300. West- southwest winds,
10-15 mph, will return by 1300, as clouds increase from the
southwest through the afternoon. There is a small chance (10-20%)
for showers and thunderstorms Saturday between 1800 and midnight.
The site will be impacted with outflow winds through this time,
possibly lingering for several hours into early Sunday morning. A
wetting rain could occur, but not likely due to the low
confidence in storm chances. RH recovery will be slightly better
Saturday night, due to the increase in moisture into the area.
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible again Sunday evening.
...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......South around 10 mph until 2100, then east.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph until 2100, then northeast
around 12 mph until 2400, then east 12 to 15
mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5.
TIME (MDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0 0 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............72 68 66 65 63 62 62 61 60 58
RH..............26 30 31 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
20 FT wind dir..NW NE NE E E E E NE E E
20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 5 6 6 5 5 5 6
20 FT wind gust.7 7 8 7 8 8 7 7 7 8
Ridge wind dir..S E E E E E E E E E
Ridge wind spd..10 10 10 10 15 15 15 10 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.W NE NE E E E E E E SE
Transp wind spd.9 12 12 12 13 15 13 12 14 13
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/10008 10 10 10 10 12 11 10 12 11
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming partly
cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1300, then west 7 to 9 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......East 10 to 15 mph until 1000, then southwest
until 1400, then west.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL until 1100. 11500 ft AGL after
1500.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 13 mph until 0900. West 14 to
17 mph after 1200.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000. Very good in the morning
increasing to excellent in the afternoon after
1300.
Haines Index........6.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5 10 10 0 5 5 5 0 10 20 30 55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............57 60 65 70 76 79 82 85 86 87 88 86
RH..............40 37 32 28 23 20 17 15 12 11 11 11
20 FT wind dir..E E E SE S SW SW W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 9 9 7
20 FT wind gust.8 7 6 7 7 10 10 12 12 13 13 11
Ridge wind dir..E E E SE S SW SW W W W W W
Ridge wind spd..15 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 3.0 5.5 9.0 11 12 12 12
Transp wind dir.SE SE S S SW SW W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.13 12 10 10 12 12 14 17 17 16 16 14
Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
SDspl kt-ft/100011 10 8 13 22 32 67 132 159 161 161 136
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
showers overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 7 mph until 1900, then
southwest around 19 mph with gusts to around
26 mph until 2100, then north around 9 mph
with gusts to around 17 mph until 2200, then
light until 2300, then northwest around 7 mph
with gusts to around 14 mph until 2400, then
northeast with gusts to around 14 mph until
0100, then east with gusts to around 17 mph
until 0400, then light.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10 to 15 mph until 2000, then southwest
around 30 mph until 2100, then north around 15
mph until 0100, then east.
Mixing height.......10500 ft AGL until 1900. 1000 ft AGL after
2000.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 14 mph until 2000, then 22 to
29 mph until 2200, then south 13 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1900, then fair early in the
evening decreasing to poor late in the night
until 2200, then poor.
Haines Index........6 decreasing to 3 overnight.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........75 85 75 85 85 75 65 55 45 35 30 30
Weather cov..... SCH
Weather type.... RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 20 10 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............86 84 79 74 71 69 67 65 64 62 61 60
RH..............11 13 18 22 30 34 37 41 45 49 52 54
20 FT wind dir..W W SW N NE NW NE SE E E E NE
20 FT wind spd..7 4 19 9 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 5
20 FT wind gust.10 11 26 17 14 14 14 17 14 14 13 11
Ridge wind dir..W W SW N NE NW NE SE E E E NE
Ridge wind spd..15 10 30 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10
Mix hgt (kft)...11 4.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S SW
Transp wind spd.14 10 29 22 16 17 18 20 20 20 16 13
Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/1000126 40 45 32 15 15 16 33 27 21 16 12
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. West
winds 10-20 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
West winds 12-18 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Southwest winds 15 mph, with gusts up to 25 mph.
$$
Forecaster...LaVoie
Requested by...Adam Spaulding
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2420414.0/RIW
.DELDT 08/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wycpc@firenet.gov