Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
244 FNUS55 KPSR 292139 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 239 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024 .DISCUSSION... Very limited monsoon activity is expected this afternoon before fairly widespread showers and thunderstorms initiate over south- central and eastern Arizona Sunday afternoon and evening. Humidity levels today will drop slightly from yesterday with MinRHs in the upper teens across the lower deserts to 20-30% over the higher terrain with only very slight improvement through Sunday afternoon. Overnight recoveries will be fair tonight and good Sunday night as moisture increases over much of the area. Winds will follow typical diurnal trends through Sunday afternoon with occasional afternoon breeziness near 20 mph, while strong outflow south southeasterly winds look likely Sunday evening into south- central Arizona. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-300945- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 239 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................83-93. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................35-46 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 7 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. chance of showers . chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min Temperature.................82-92. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................43-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...20 percent east portion. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 3 after midnight. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................102-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 105-112. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 81-91. Highs 102-108. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 103-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 107-113. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 107-112. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-300945- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 239 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024 /239 PM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-87. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................35-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........4000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 16 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................83-88. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................44-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 83-89. Highs 109-114. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-89. Highs 106-111. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-87. Highs 107-112. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 111-116. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 84-89. Highs 109-114. $$ AZZ133-300945- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 239 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................70-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................43-62 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................93-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-30 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 40 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature.................67-82. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................56-79 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................70 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 percent. * LAL.............................3. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................86-102. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................27-40 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................60 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........2 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-83. Highs 89-105. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-83. Highs 87-102. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-83. Highs 88-103. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-83. Highs 92-107. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-83. Highs 90-107. $$ CAZ232-300945- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 239 PM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................81-86. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................20-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................13-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................81-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................28-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-19 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 104-114. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-90. Highs 103-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 81-89. Highs 104-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 107-117. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 84-90. Highs 106-115. $$ CAZ230-300945- Joshua Tree National Park- 239 PM PDT Sat Jun 29 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................70-81. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................15-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SUNDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SUNDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................69-81. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................18-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................93-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 69-86. Highs 95-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 72-86. Highs 94-108. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 72-86. Highs 95-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 75-86. Highs 98-112. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 74-86. Highs 96-111. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Sunday July 7th through Tuesday July 9th: Above normal temperatures and near to below median precipitation.