Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
871 FNUS55 KPSR 011321 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 621 AM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 .DISCUSSION... Moisture levels remain high today with additional chances for isolated to scattered showers and storms and gusty outflow winds late this afternoon and evening across south-central Arizona. Min RHs will be in the 25-25% range over south-central Arizona and in the teens across southeastern California and far southwestern Arizona. Overnight recovery will be good and in the 40-60% range in the eastern districts and in the 30-40% range in the western districts. Outside of thunderstorms, winds will tend to follow thier typical diurnal patterns. Daily monsoon storm chances continue tomorrow, although most of the activity will be confined to the higher terrain locations. Min RHs will be in the 15-25% range Tuesday with overnight recoveries in the 30-50% range. Temperatures will remain above normal. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-020130- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 621 AM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................102-109. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................19-31 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 8 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-92. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-54 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-112. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................15-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 104-110. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 107-112. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 109-115. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 107-113. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 106-112. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-020130- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 621 AM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 /621 AM PDT Mon Jul 1 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................15-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................79-84. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................32-45 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................14-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........10500 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 108-113. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 110-115. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 113-118. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 111-116. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 110-115. $$ AZZ133-020130- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 621 AM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning becoming chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................86-100. * 24 hr trend..................6 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................31-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................50 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................67-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................54-75 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................30 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................89-105. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................23-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-83. Highs 89-104. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66-83. Highs 92-107. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-83. Highs 95-109. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-83. Highs 92-107. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 66-83. Highs 91-106. $$ CAZ232-020130- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 621 AM PDT Mon Jul 1 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................78-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................21-39 pct. * 24 hr trend..................19 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-16 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 81-88. Highs 104-114. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 81-89. Highs 106-116. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 83-89. Highs 109-119. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 82-89. Highs 108-117. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 82-88. Highs 106-116. $$ CAZ230-020130- Joshua Tree National Park- 621 AM PDT Mon Jul 1 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................92-106. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................9-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................68-79. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................20-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 73-84. Highs 96-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 73-87. Highs 97-111. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 76-87. Highs 100-114. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 74-86. Highs 98-112. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 74-85. Highs 97-112. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Monday July 8th through Wednesday July 10th: Above normal temperatures and near to below median precipitation.