Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
110 FNUS55 KPSR 012038 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 138 PM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 .DISCUSSION... Isolated showers and thunderstorms will once again develop this afternoon and evening, primarily across the eastern districts. MinRHs across south-central Arizona will range between 25-35% this afternoon, before dropping to 15-25% by tomorrow. Overnight recoveries during this period will follow a similar downward trend, with values 40-60% tonight, dropping to 30-50% by Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. Drier conditions will be observed over the western districts, as MinRH values will be generally in the teens over the next few afternoons, while overnight recoveries range from 20-40%. Outside of any potential shower and thunderstorms, winds will follow diurnal trends, occasionally gusts to 20 mph during the afternoon hours. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-020845- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 138 PM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................81-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................10 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming south 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-112. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................13-20 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11400 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 4 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-92. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................30-44 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming east 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................16-23 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 9 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 107-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 110-116. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 108-114. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 107-113. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 109-115. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-020845- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 138 PM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 /138 PM PDT Mon Jul 1 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................79-84. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Max Humidity....................33-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................13 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-16 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........9700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................81-86. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................108-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........5700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 16 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 110-115. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 114-119. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 112-117. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 111-116. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 82-87. Highs 113-118. $$ AZZ133-020845- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 138 PM MST Mon Jul 1 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................66-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................54-75 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................89-104. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................22-34 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................69-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................42-62 pct. * 24 hr trend..................12 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming northwest 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent in the evening becoming 0 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature.................90-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-28 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................2. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66-82. Highs 93-107. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66-83. Highs 95-110. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66-83. Highs 92-107. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 66-83. Highs 92-107. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-84. Highs 94-109. $$ CAZ232-020845- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 138 PM PDT Mon Jul 1 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................78-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................21-39 pct. * 24 hr trend..................19 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-113. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................81-87. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................19-49 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................105-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 80-89. Highs 106-116. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 110-120. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 109-118. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 82-88. Highs 107-117. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 109-119. $$ CAZ230-020845- Joshua Tree National Park- 138 PM PDT Mon Jul 1 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................68-79. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................20-24 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .TUESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................93-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming south in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TUESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................73-83. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................17-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .WEDNESDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................95-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 73-87. Highs 98-112. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 77-87. Highs 100-115. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 99-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 99-112. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 76-87. Highs 99-114. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Tuesday July 9th through Thursday July 11th: Above normal temperatures and near to below median precipitation.