Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS51 KOKX 050851
FWFOKX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A trough of low pressure stalls west of the area today with a
warm front lifting through the region late today into tonight. A
cold front then approaches on Saturday, slowly moving through the
area Saturday night.

Southerly wind gusts strengthen to 20 to 25 mph this afternoon,
with min RH values in the 60 to 70 percent range. Southerly winds
gusts of 20 to 25 mph likely Saturday with min RH values in the
60 to 70 percent range.


NYZ212-060900-
New York City-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      89 (+5)      73 (+2)      89
RH % (24h trend)      63 (-2)      97 (+1)      60
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G23   S 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 8-12 G23   S 5-9 G17    S 7-11 G21
Precip Amount         0.05         0.12         0.36
Precip Duration       1            2            6
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4220         40           4490
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 15         S 24         SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     54860        840          62860
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ213-060900-
Long Island-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           60
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+6)      70 (+2)      84
RH % (24h trend)      70 (-2)      100 (+1)     73
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S 3-7        S 8-12 G21   S 5-9 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 8-12 G21   S 6-10 G18   S 7-11 G20
Precip Amount         0.03         0.07         0.14
Precip Duration       1            2            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2930         110          2380
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 20         S 18         SW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     49810        1760         45220
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ211-060900-
Lower Hudson Valley-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     50           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      87 (+1)      70 (+2)      88
RH % (24h trend)      68 (+6)      100 (+1)     58
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 4-8 G18    Lgt/Var      S 3-7
Precip Amount         0.20         0.25         0.35
Precip Duration       1            2            8
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4730         100          5830
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         S  3         SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     56760        300          69960
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          2            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ002-060900-
Western Passaic-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     40           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      88 (+2)      71 (+3)      89
RH % (24h trend)      66 (+4)      100 (0)      56
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.14         0.20         0.36
Precip Duration       1            2            8
Precip Begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6000                      6110
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 15         S  6         SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     78000        0            73320
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ004-060900-
Eastern Passaic-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      90 (+1)      72 (+2)      90
RH % (24h trend)      60 (+4)      99 (0)       54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G17    Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Precip Amount         0.09         0.15         0.39
Precip Duration       1            2            6
Precip Begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6110         120          6040
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 15         SE  6        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     79430        600          78520
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ103-060900-
Western Bergen-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      90 (+2)      71 (+2)      89
RH % (24h trend)      62 (+4)      100 (+1)     55
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G17    Lgt/Var      S 3-7
Precip Amount         0.11         0.16         0.39
Precip Duration       1            2            8
Precip Begin          11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6080         140          6020
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 15         SE  3        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     79040        420          78260
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ104-060900-
Eastern Bergen-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      89 (0)       73 (+2)      90
RH % (24h trend)      62 (+6)      98 (0)       54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8 G18    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 6-10 G18   Lgt/Var      S 4-8 G17
Precip Amount         0.08         0.14         0.39
Precip Duration       1            2            8
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5410         40           5670
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 15         S 10         SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     70330        360          73710
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ105-060900-
Western Essex-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      90 (+1)      73 (+3)      90
RH % (24h trend)      58 (+2)      99 (+1)      52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 3-7 G17    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G17    Lgt/Var      S 4-8 G17
Precip Amount         0.08         0.15         0.39
Precip Duration       1            2            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6010                      6080
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 16        S 10         SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     84140        0            79040
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ106-060900-
Eastern Essex-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      90 (+1)      75 (+3)      90
RH % (24h trend)      60 (+6)      91 (0)       54
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G18    S 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 6-10 G18   S 3-7        S 6-10 G19
Precip Amount         0.07         0.14         0.40
Precip Duration       1            2            6
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5090         50           5620
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         S 13         SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     61080        550          73060
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ107-060900-
Western Union-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      91 (0)       73 (+3)      91
RH % (24h trend)      58 (+1)      99 (+2)      52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 3-7        Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 4-8        Lgt/Var      SW 4-8
Precip Amount         0.08         0.14         0.39
Precip Duration       1            2            6
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6600                      6410
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 16        S 13         SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     92400        0            76920
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            4            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ108-060900-
Eastern Union-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      92 (+1)      74 (+2)      91
RH % (24h trend)      58 (+2)      94 (+1)      50
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G18   SW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 6-10 G18   SW 3-7       S 6-10 G19
Precip Amount         0.07         0.14         0.40
Precip Duration       1            2            6
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6140                      6190
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 16         S 17         SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     85960        0            80470
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NJZ006-060900-
Hudson-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      90 (+4)      74 (+2)      90
RH % (24h trend)      63 (+3)      94 (0)       55
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 6-10 G19   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 6-10 G19   S 4-8        S 6-10 G20
Precip Amount         0.06         0.13         0.40
Precip Duration       1            2            6
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4740         100          5390
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 13         S 14         SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     52140        1200         70070
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ005-060900-
Northern Fairfield-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     40           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+1)      70 (+3)      85
RH % (24h trend)      72 (+9)      100 (0)      74
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8 G17    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G17    Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Precip Amount         0.13         0.17         0.34
Precip Duration       1            2            8
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4190         120          3300
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         S  7         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     50280        720          39600
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          2            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ009-060900-
Southern Fairfield-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      87 (+3)      70 (+2)      87
RH % (24h trend)      68 (+6)      100 (0)      68
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G17    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 6-10 G17   Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.06         0.13         0.30
Precip Duration       1            2            8
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4010         120          3780
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         S  8         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     48120        840          41580
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          2            3            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ006-060900-
Northern New Haven-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           70
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+2)      70 (+4)      85
RH % (24h trend)      74 (+9)      100 (+1)     77
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8 G18    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G18    Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Precip Amount         0.09         0.13         0.24
Precip Duration       2            2            8
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4160         120          2800
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 14         S  8         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     49920        840          30800
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          2            3            2

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ010-060900-
Southern New Haven-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           40           60
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+3)      70 (+2)      84
RH % (24h trend)      74 (+8)      100 (+1)     76
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8 G17    Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G17    Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.05         0.09         0.16
Precip Duration       2            2            8
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3410         190          2440
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 15         S 12         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     44330        1900         29280
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          2            3            2

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ007-060900-
Northern Middlesex-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           40           60
Temp (24h trend)      85 (+2)      70 (+4)      84
RH % (24h trend)      75 (+13)     100 (0)      78
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G18    S 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G18    S 3-7        S 5-9
Precip Amount         0.08         0.08         0.14
Precip Duration       2            2            6
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3870         720          2490
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 15        SW 15        S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     50310        9360         34860
LAL                   9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          2            2            2

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ011-060900-
Southern Middlesex-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           40           60
Temp (24h trend)      83 (+3)      70 (+3)      83
RH % (24h trend)      76 (+8)      100 (0)      78
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 4-8 G17    S 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 5-9 G17    S 3-7        S 6-10 G17
Precip Amount         0.07         0.07         0.10
Precip Duration       2            1            6
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3080         250          2260
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 17         SW 15        S 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     46200        3250         36160
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            3            2

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ008-060900-
Northern New London-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           30           60
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+1)      70 (+6)      82
RH % (24h trend)      77 (+13)     100 (0)      80
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G19    S 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 6-10 G19   S 4-8        S 6-10 G18
Precip Amount         0.10         0.07         0.09
Precip Duration       2            1            6
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3260         710          2250
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 17        S 17         SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     48900        10650        38250
LAL                   1-8 Strikes  1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            2            2

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ012-060900-
Southern New London-
451 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           30           50
Temp (24h trend)      81 (+2)      69 (+4)      81
RH % (24h trend)      78 (+8)      100 (0)      79
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      S 5-9 G18    S 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   S 6-10 G18   S 4-8        S 6-10 G18
Precip Amount         0.06         0.08         0.08
Precip Duration       1            1            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2580         220          2150
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 18        S 16         SW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     41280        3080         40850
LAL                   No Tstms     1-8 Strikes  9-15 Strikes
Haines Index          3            2            2

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog through
the night. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 70s. Highs in the upper 80s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog through the
night. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows around 70. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 80s.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$