023
FXUS64 KOHX 011740
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1240 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1124 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

What a day! Temperatures are sitting in the 70s to lower 80s with
dew points in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Take it all in because
this is it. We are back to our regularly scheduled summer
tomorrow. The upper high will slide back east overnight and
reassert its dominance starting tomorrow. Highs will be back in
the 90s west of the plateau with dew points getting into the 70s
again. We will remain PoPless through the short term forecast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1124 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

The ridge remains intact to start the long term period. A couple
scattered storms will be possible starting Wednesday afternoon.
There appears to be some weakness along the northern fringes of
the ridge Thursday and Friday which should allow storm coverage
to be higher. Like the last forecast package, the NBM PoPs
Thursday and Friday seem to be on the high side, so they were
nudged down. All of the fireworks and cookouts will not be a wash
out on Thursday, but there will certainly be some scattered
activity to dodge. A weak front looks like it will make a pass
through the area late Friday into Saturday bringing another
temporary pause to the nasty heat. The front won`t be as
refreshing as the one we have today, but highs will be knocked
down into the 80s for most of the area on Saturday.

In regards to any heat products this week, we will be below
criteria today and tomorrow. Heat index values look like they`ll
creep up above the 105 threshold on Wednesday and likely again on
Thursday depending on storm coverage. A heat advisory will likely
be needed for Wednesday at least along and west of I-65 and again
on Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

VFR conditions prevail. Current northeasterly winds to become
southerly towards the end of the TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      64  94  76  97 /   0   0   0  20
Clarksville    59  92  75  94 /   0   0  10  30
Crossville     59  86  66  88 /   0   0   0  10
Columbia       61  94  74  96 /   0   0  10  20
Cookeville     61  88  70  90 /   0   0   0  10
Jamestown      59  87  68  89 /   0   0   0  10
Lawrenceburg   61  92  73  94 /   0   0  10  20
Murfreesboro   61  94  73  97 /   0   0   0  20
Waverly        60  93  75  94 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Baggett/Payette