064
FXUS64 KOHX 020540
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1240 AM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 835 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

Another incredible night is on tap. Cool temperatures, low dew
points and clear skies. If you want the windows open for some
fresh air, tonight`s the night because these amazing conditions
are going away starting tomorrow. The heat and Heat Index values
will start building again due to southerly boundary layer flow.
Look for highs in the low 90s with HI values nearing triple digits
tomorrow afternoon. It will be dry again, but PoPs creep back
into the forecast on Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1124 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

What a day! Temperatures are sitting in the 70s to lower 80s with
dew points in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Take it all in because
this is it. We are back to our regularly scheduled summer
tomorrow. The upper high will slide back east overnight and
reassert its dominance starting tomorrow. Highs will be back in
the 90s west of the plateau with dew points getting into the 70s
again. We will remain PoPless through the short term forecast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1124 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024

The ridge remains intact to start the long term period. A couple
scattered storms will be possible starting Wednesday afternoon.
There appears to be some weakness along the northern fringes of
the ridge Thursday and Friday which should allow storm coverage
to be higher. Like the last forecast package, the NBM PoPs
Thursday and Friday seem to be on the high side, so they were
nudged down. All of the fireworks and cookouts will not be a wash
out on Thursday, but there will certainly be some scattered
activity to dodge. A weak front looks like it will make a pass
through the area late Friday into Saturday bringing another
temporary pause to the nasty heat. The front won`t be as
refreshing as the one we have today, but highs will be knocked
down into the 80s for most of the area on Saturday.

In regards to any heat products this week, we will be below
criteria today and tomorrow. Heat index values look like they`ll
creep up above the 105 threshold on Wednesday and likely again on
Thursday depending on storm coverage. A heat advisory will likely
be needed for Wednesday at least along and west of I-65 and again
on Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1238 AM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024

VFR conditions expected at all sites over the next 24 hours. Other
than a few passing mid clouds tonight, skies will be mostly clear.
Scattered cu may develop during the daytime hours on Tuesday.
Light winds this morning will give way to around 10 knot winds
out of the south during the daytime.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      96  77  98  78 /   0   0  10  20
Clarksville    93  75  95  76 /   0   0  20  30
Crossville     88  67  89  69 /   0   0  10  10
Columbia       95  75  96  76 /   0   0  10  10
Cookeville     89  71  91  73 /   0   0  10  10
Jamestown      88  69  90  72 /   0   0  10  20
Lawrenceburg   93  74  95  74 /   0   0  10  10
Murfreesboro   94  75  97  76 /   0   0  10  10
Waverly        94  75  96  76 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE.......Unger
SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Whitehead