591
FXUS64 KOHX 281713
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1213 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1129 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

The heat is definitely on in Middle Tennessee. High pressure is
now situated to our east, so we`re picking up some return
southerly flow that is sending our temperatures soaring while also
slowly increasing our dew points. Tomorrow will be even more
oppressive as a surface boundary closes in on Middle Tennessee
from the northwest. We expect enough additional humidity tomorrow
that we are going to issue a Heat Advisory for most of Middle
Tennessee west of the Cumberland Plateau for tomorrow. In
addition, we expect scattered convection to develop in the pre-
frontal environment. While this may provide some temporary relief
in some locations, we still expect many locations to reach a heat
index of 105F+. It is worth noting that the SPC`s day 2 outlook
does include a tiny sliver of a marginal risk across our northern
counties, but out risk of severe storms on Saturday minimal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1129 AM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

Our chance for convection will peak on Saturday night and Sunday
with the expected passage of the aforementioned surface boundary.
So we will dry out by Sunday evening and we`ll also enjoy a sunny
and much cooler Monday, but the heat will start to build back in
by Tuesday, with above-normal warmth expected to persist the
remainder of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

VFR conditions are expected into tomorrow. SCT clouds 030-050 this
afternoon with highs clouds overnight. There is a slight chance a
shower or thunderstorm pops up between 18 and 02z but chances are
too low to include in the TAF. Southerly winds up to 8 knots
becoming light overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      78  96  77  92 /   0  30  40  60
Clarksville    75  94  75  88 /   0  30  40  40
Crossville     70  86  70  87 /  10  60  50  80
Columbia       74  96  74  92 /   0  30  60  70
Cookeville     73  89  72  87 /  10  40  50  70
Jamestown      72  88  71  86 /  10  50  50  70
Lawrenceburg   73  94  73  91 /   0  30  60  70
Murfreesboro   75  96  74  92 /   0  40  50  70
Waverly        75  95  74  88 /   0  30  70  60

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Saturday for Bedford-Cannon-
Cheatham-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-Giles-Hickman-Houston-
Humphreys-Lawrence-Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Perry-
Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Wayne-
Williamson-Wilson.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Mueller