River Statement
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
763 FGUS86 KMTR 031948 RVSMTR CAC085-040315- Hydrologic Statement National Weather Service San Francisco CA 1148 AM PST Sat Feb 3 2024 ...Special River Statement for the Guadalupe River at Alamedan Expressway... * WHAT...The Guadalupe River at Alamedan Expressway is forecast to rise into Monitor Stage (7.5 ft) on Sunday morning. The river may rise above Flood Stage (9.5 ft) Sunday later in the morning, potentially cresting around 10.11 ft Sunday around 10 AM PST. Latest ensemble guidance suggests there is a 37% probability of the river reaching Monitor Stage (7.5 ft) by early Sunday morning and a 23% probability of reaching Flood Stage (9.5 ft) later in the morning on Sunday. Given these low probabilities, confidence is low for issuance of a River Flood Warning at this time. We will continue to monitor and upgrade if necessary as confidence increases. The most recent stage was 2.14 feet at 11:15 am PST. * WHERE...Guadalupe River at Alamedan Expressway. * WHEN...Sunday. Stream Fld Observed Fcast-11 am PST Location Stg Stg Day/Time Sun Mon Tue Guadalupe River Alamaden Expresswa 9.5 2.1 Sat 11 am PST 9.9 6.0 4.3 To receive the latest hydrologic information, tune into NOAA Weather Radio or head to the California Nevada River Forecast Center website at https://cnrfc.noaa.gov/rfc_guidance.php $$