481
FXUS64 KMOB 021830
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
130 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Mostly VFR conditions continue through the period. Local
reductions to ceilings and visibilities will be possible around
any thunderstorms that may develop this afternoon. Showers and
storms are also expected to redevelop again early Wednesday
morning along the coast. Another round of low ceilings may also
develop again towards the end of the period over interior portions
of the area. Light southeasterly winds prevail. /14

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024

The forecast remains on track this afternoon with hot and very
humid conditions occurring. Temperatures have risen into the
lower and middle 90s in most areas and will likely climb a couple
more degrees as we go through the rest of the afternoon. Surface
observations are also reporting heat index values between 106-112
degrees as of 12:30pm. Therefore, a Heat Advisory remains in
effect until 7pm today for all but our far northeastern zones
(Butler/Crenshaw AL counties) today where heat index values are
expected to remain just below criteria. The radar has remained
mostly dry so far today with only an isolated storm developing out
of the Gulf Waters early this morning. Although, that will begin
to change with isolated to scattered showers and storms expected
to develop along the seabreeze and gradually spread inland over
the next several hours. Surface based CAPE values in excess of
3000 J/KG and downdraft CAPE values in excess of 1000 J/KG could
aid in a few storm cells capable of producing strong to localized
damaging gusts. Storms could also be efficient rainfall producers
with precipitable water values around 2 inches. Isolated to
scattered convection should linger into the early evening hours
before diminishing. /21/14



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      77  92  76  94  77  95  77  95 /  30  60  10  40  10  40  20  50
Pensacola   79  90  78  92  79  93  79  93 /  50  60  10  30  10  50  10  50
Destin      80  90  80  91  80  92  81  92 /  40  50  10  30  10  30  10  40
Evergreen   76  93  74  96  75  97  76  95 /  30  60  10  50  10  50  20  50
Waynesboro  76  93  75  96  76  97  75  94 /  20  60  10  40  10  50  30  60
Camden      76  94  75  97  76  97  75  94 /  20  60  10  40  10  50  30  60
Crestview   76  93  74  95  75  96  76  96 /  40  60  10  50  10  50  20  50

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>056-059-060-
     261>266.

FL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

MS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-
     079.

GM...None.
&&

$$

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