033
FXUS64 KMOB 301957
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
257 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 257 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

VFR conditions should generally prevail for the next 24 hours.
Some brief and localized MVFR/IFR conditions could prevail near
the showers and storms today and this evening, and again during
the day on Monday. Light southwest to westerly winds this
afternoon, becoming more variable this evening and then light
northwesterly late tonight and Monday. DS/12

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 257 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

An upper level ridge will remain centered west of the area through
Monday. This will maintain a generally northerly flow pattern
aloft. The combination of weak shortwaves rotating around this
ridge, daytime heating and the seabreeze circulation has resulted
in scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms today,
and much the same is expected on Monday. The storms will be most
numerous near the coast each morning and then over inland areas
through the afternoon hours and into the early evening hours,
gradually dissipating by late the evening hours. After peaking in
the mid 90s (and with Heat Index values reaching upwards of 110
degrees) earlier today, temperatures have now dropped somewhat
across the region this afternoon with the rain cooled air.
Dewpoints are still expected to be in the mid to upper 70s on
MOnday, so before the more widespread rains develop we will again
be looking at heat indices to likely peaking in the 108-110
degree range again tomorrow, at least for a period of time. As a
result, another Heat Advisory will be necessary on Monday. A high
risk of rip currents remains in effect today followed by moderate
on Monday into mid week. DS/12

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      75  97  77  92  77  90  76  93 /  30  40  10  60  20  70  20  40
Pensacola   77  96  79  90  79  90  78  91 /  40  50  30  60  30  50  20  40
Destin      80  93  80  90  79  90  79  91 /  50  60  30  50  30  50  20  30
Evergreen   74  97  74  92  73  93  73  94 /  30  30  10  70  20  70  10  50
Waynesboro  74  95  71  96  74  92  73  95 /  30  10   0  40  10  60  10  40
Camden      73  94  72  92  72  91  73  94 /  30  10  10  50  20  50  10  40
Crestview   75  96  75  92  74  93  73  95 /  40  60  20  70  20  70  20  50

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.

     High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-
     266.

FL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

     High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-
     204-206.

MS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-
     079.

GM...None.
&&

$$

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