Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
487
FNUS72 KMLB 020841
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for Three Lakes - Jack Slough...Florida Fish and Wildlife
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
441 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
There is a 60% chance for scattered lightning storms over the burn
area this afternoon, with the highest rain potential between 3 PM
and 7 PM. Light winds up to 10 mph are forecast through the day,
first southerly then southeasterly after 2-3 PM. Erratic wind
gusts are possible beneath any storm. Minimum RH readings fall to
55-60%, and dispersion will be fair to good. Plan for hot
temperatures in the mid 90s. The forecast will be quite similar
for Wednesday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming mostly
cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes until
1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph late
in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
late morning and afternoon, then decreasing to
2400 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 18 late in the morning, then
increasing to 34 late in the morning increasing
to 38 in the afternoon decreasing to 31.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 5 late in the morning, then
decreasing to 3 late in the morning decreasing
to 1 late in the afternoon increasing to 3.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11 23 24 18 19 30 30 36 70 70
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 10 20 30 50 60 60
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3
Temp............77 80 84 87 88 90 91 91 91 88
RH..............100 94 80 70 68 62 60 60 60 66
20 FT wind dir..SE S S S S S SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 7 7
20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 9 10 10 12 12 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.9 2.8 3.5 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.2 3.6 2.4
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S SE SE
Transp wind spd.6 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 10
Dispersion idx..5 18 29 38 41 37 36 35 36 31
LVORI...........9 5 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 2100, then 1-8 strikes until
2200, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms late in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....22 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 8.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70 35 35 31 33 31 29 32 24 21 20 26
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60 50 30 20 10 10 10 10 0 10 10 0
LAL.............3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............87 86 81 80 79 78 77 77 76 76 75 75
RH..............70 72 85 88 88 91 94 94 97 97 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.12 10 10 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.12 9 9 9 6 8 8 6 6 7 7 7
Dispersion idx..23 21 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 3 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL late in
the morning, then increasing to 4900 ft AGL
late in the afternoon decreasing to 2400 ft AGL
late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 32.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28 28 14 18 16 23 39 54 70 70 70 70
Weather cov..... LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 60 60 60
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3
Temp............75 74 77 81 85 87 88 90 91 90 90 89
RH..............100 100 100 88 76 70 66 63 60 60 59 59
20 FT wind dir..E E E SE SE SE SE E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 3 5 5 6 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.5 5 3 5 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.3 3.8 4.4 4.9 4.1 3.3 2.4
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E
Transp wind spd.6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 9 10
Dispersion idx..3 3 5 11 15 21 24 28 36 35 36 32
LVORI...........9 9 8 5 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Heil
Requested by...Steve Glass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417129.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL steve.glass@myfwc.com