782
FXUS62 KMLB 020545
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
145 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 145 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

VFR conditions expected thru much of the TAF. Light SSE flow will
increase after 16z-18z as the ECSB begins to push inland. Along
the breeze isolated SHRA/TSRA are possible, with the highest
coverage expected from the Treasure Coast terminals to
MCO/ISM/LEE by 22z-02z Wed. TEMPOs were included at the
westernmost sites (ISM/LEE) but may need to be added at a few
more locations in future TAFs, if TSRA confidence increases.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 920 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

Current-Overnight...The ECSB continues to make steady progress
inland this evening, though with the warmer temperatures aloft, we
have only observed ISOLD convection. The threat for ISOLD-SCT
showers and lightning storms continues into mid-late evening across
the interior, as we do feel there will be some later boundary
collisions (west of Orlando). As convection winds down later this
evening and overnight, expect mainly dry conditions - though we
may have to monitor for some onshore moving activity late
overnight toward sunrise Tue morning across Martin (perhaps St.
Lucie) County. The SERLY winds behind the sea breeze will diminish
and become light S/SSE. Sky conditions will be PCloudy. Muggy
overnight lows in the M- U70s areawide forecast.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 345 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

The Atlc ridge axis draped across central Florida today will lift
north of the local waters by midweek allowing dominant wind flow
to be from the SE becoming enhanced (10-15 knots) each afternoon
near the coast behind the sea breeze. Isolated to scattered
showers and storms are forecast primarily overnight and morning
hours over the open Atlc and morning to early aftn over the
intracoastal waters. The summer doldrums are here with seas 2 FT
or less through Tue, then up to 3 FT offshore through Friday.
Intracoastal and inshore boaters will notice a light to moderate
chop behind the sea breeze each afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  93  77  92  76 /  40  30  40  20
MCO  93  77  93  76 /  60  40  60  10
MLB  91  78  91  78 /  40  20  40  10
VRB  91  76  91  76 /  50  20  40  10
LEE  93  78  94  78 /  60  60  60  30
SFB  94  77  93  76 /  50  40  60  20
ORL  94  78  94  77 /  50  50  60  20
FPR  91  76  91  76 /  50  20  40  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Sedlock
AVIATION...Schaper