Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 022259
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022258
KSZ000-030000-
Mesoscale Discussion 1514
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0558 PM CDT Tue Jul 02 2024
Areas affected...portions of south-central Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 499...
Valid 022258Z - 030000Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 499
continues.
SUMMARY...A focused corridor of strong to severe wind gusts (50-70
mph) may accompany a rapidly propagating bowing MCS across southern
KS.
DISCUSSION...An MCS has recently organized across southern KS over
the past couple of hours. This MCS has recently shown some bowing
structure, with rapid propagation speeds potentially exceeding 50
mph, and several estimated and measured severe gusts reported.
Preceding this bow-echo MCS is a deep, mixed boundary layer,
characterized by 8-9 C/km 0-3 km lapse rates per 22Z mesoanalysis.
This favorable boundary layer may foster efficient evaporative
cooling to support a focused corridor (through the axis of steepest
low-level lapse rates) of strong to severe gusts within the 50-70
mph range for at least a few more hours.
..Squitieri.. 07/02/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 37189735 37909715 38359670 38499616 38269590 37789582
37349610 37149654 37189735