Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FNUS54 KMAF 040646
FWFMAF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
146 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather concerns continue to remain low through the period
with increasing moisture being the main factor. Storm coverage
will increase today into the weekend as a cold front enters the
area. While wetting rains are possible, lightning starts and gusty
and erratic winds continue to be the biggest concern with any
storms that develop. Much of the region is seeing ERC values
nearing the 75th percentile, especially in the Permian Basin, and
this will continue to increase until we see more widespread
rains. Recovery will be moderate to excellent.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.


NMZ116-042130-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
1246 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           50
Temp (24h trend)      96 (-1)      63 (-6)      84
RH % (24h trend)      13 (-11)     83 (+21)     39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W  5         E  7         NE  9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE  6        SE  7        NE 10
LAL                   2            3            4
Haines Index          5            5            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     10           22           17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    12640                     4420
Transport Wnd (kts)   NW 10                     NE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     126400                    53040
Vent Category         Very good                 Fair
RFTI                  0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.

$$

NMZ117-042130-
Chaves Plains-
1246 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           30
Temp (24h trend)      102 (+2)     67 (-6)      89
RH % (24h trend)      14 (-10)     78 (+14)     38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S  5         E 10         NE 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE  6        E  9         E  9
LAL                   1            3            3
Haines Index          4            5            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     14           28           17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    13230                     4970
Transport Wnd (kts)   N 13                      E 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     171990                    89460
Vent Category         Excellent                 Good
RFTI                  0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NMZ118-042130-
Eddy Plains-
1246 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           40
Temp (24h trend)      102 (+1)     71 (-5)      92
RH % (24h trend)      19 (-6)      75 (+15)     39
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S  5         SE  8        NE  9
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE  5        SE  8        E  9
LAL                   2            3            3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     11           13           15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    12080                     5960
Transport Wnd (kts)   E 12                      E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     144960                    77480
Vent Category         Very good                 Good
RFTI                  0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 101. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NMZ119-042130-
Lea-
1246 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           30
Temp (24h trend)      100 (-1)     67 (-7)      90
RH % (24h trend)      23 (+1)      82 (+16)     38
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S  8         E  9         E 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  5         E  9         E 12
LAL                   2            3            3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     8            23           15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    10410                     5130
Transport Wnd (kts)   SE 15                     E 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     156150                    87210
Vent Category         Excellent                 Good
RFTI                  0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

TXZ270-271-042130-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
146 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024 /1246 AM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     40           50           50
Temp (24h trend)      94 (+1)      66 (-4)      87
RH % (24h trend)      24 (-2)      72 (+14)     35
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  W  7         E  7         NE 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   N  7         E  9         E 14
LAL                   3            4            3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     10           21           19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    8570                      5500
Transport Wnd (kts)   NW 13                     E 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     111410                    88000
Vent Category         Very good                 Good
RFTI                  0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.

$$

TXZ272-273-275>282-042130-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
146 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     50           50           50
Temp (24h trend)      101 (-2)     67 (-7)      98
RH % (24h trend)      22 (+2)      75 (+14)     24
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      E  7         NE  7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE  5        E  6         E 12
LAL                   3            4            3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     9            17           25
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    9190                      8440
Transport Wnd (kts)   N 11                      E 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     101090                    135040
Vent Category         Very good                 Very good
RFTI                  0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-042130-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
146 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           40           40
Temp (24h trend)      103 (0)      72 (-4)      96
RH % (24h trend)      23 (+1)      76 (+9)      32
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S  9         E  8         E  8
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE  7        SE  8        E 11
LAL                   2            3            3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     10           17           20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    9490                      6480
Transport Wnd (kts)   S 20                      E 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     189800                    97200
Vent Category         Excellent                 Good
RFTI                  0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$