Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
738
FNUS54 KMAF 041904
FWFMAF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
204 PM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Aside from a risk of fire starts for critically dry fuels due to
lightning and gusty, erratic winds from storms in the western
higher terrain, fire weather conditions remain low through the end
of this week into next week. Increased clouds, min RH above
critical, good overnight recovery, continued light winds, and
cooler than average temperatures Friday and Saturday and again
Monday into the end of next week will help limit fire risk, even
though wetting rains in storms will not be a guarantee. Highest
fire risk each day will be located from southern Culberson County
into the Presidio Valley and Big Bend, but even there RFTIs will
be low.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.


NMZ116-050915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
104 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     10           50           40           50
Temp (24h trend)      62 (-5)      85 (-10)     61           89
RH % (24h trend)      85 (+19)     40 (+23)     92           31
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E  9         NE  7        E  8         SE  5
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE  6        E  9         E  5         S  9
LAL                   3            4            3            4
Haines Index          5            3            3            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     20           16           20           12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5540                      7260
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 12                      S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  66480                     101640
Vent Category                      Good                      Very good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity
at or below 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Not
as warm. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
40 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ117-050915-
Chaves Plains-
104 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           50           50           40
Temp (24h trend)      68 (-1)      89 (-12)     65           93
RH % (24h trend)      83 (+12)     41 (+24)     89           31
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 11         NE 12        E 10         SE  6
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  7         E  9         SE  7        S  9
LAL                   2            3            3            3
Haines Index          5            3            4            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     19           14           20           15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5580                      7290
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 19                      S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  106020                    109350
Vent Category                      Very good                 Very good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs around 101. Minimum relative humidity at
or below 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Not
as warm. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
30 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NMZ118-050915-
Eddy Plains-
104 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           50           30
Temp (24h trend)      70 (-4)      92 (-10)     67           94
RH % (24h trend)      77 (+10)     39 (+18)     85           31
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 12         NE  9        E 10         E  5
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  8         E  9         E  7         SE  9
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     18           12           13           14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 6780                      7240
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 15                      SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  101700                    86880
Vent Category                      Very good                 Good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 70s. Highs around 102. Minimum relative humidity at
or below 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

NMZ119-050915-
Lea-
104 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     40           40           40           20
Temp (24h trend)      67 (-5)      89 (-11)     64           93
RH % (24h trend)      86 (+15)     39 (+16)     92           29
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 13         NE 12        E 13         E  7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  8         E 10         E  9         S  9
LAL                   4            2            3            2
Haines Index          3            3            2            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     21           10           10           13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4890                      7160
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 17                      SE 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  83130                     100240
Vent Category                      Good                      Very good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs around 100. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TXZ270-271-050915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
204 PM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024 /104 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024/

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     40           40           40           30
Temp (24h trend)      65 (-5)      88 (-3)      62           89
RH % (24h trend)      75 (+11)     32 (+7)      85           27
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E  9         NE  9        E 13         E  7
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 10         NE 12        E  9         SE  8
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     14           16           17           16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5930                      7260
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 16                      E 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  94880                     79860
Vent Category                      Good                      Good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.

$$

TXZ272-273-275>282-050915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
204 PM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     50           30           40           30
Temp (24h trend)      67 (-7)      98 (-1)      66           97
RH % (24h trend)      78 (+13)     24 (-1)      79           23
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E  9         NE  8        E 14         E  6
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NE  8        NE 12        NE  8        E  7
LAL                   4            3            3            3
Haines Index          3            3            2            3
Wind 10000 FT MSL     18           21           26           22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 8230                      8800
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 16                      E 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  131680                    96800
Vent Category                      Very good                 Good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-050915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
204 PM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           20           30           20
Temp (24h trend)      72 (-6)      96 (-6)      69           96
RH % (24h trend)      78 (+12)     30 (+4)      84           30
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 11         E  9         E 12         E  6
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  8         E 11         E  8         SE  8
LAL                   3            3            3            3
Haines Index          4            3            2            2
Wind 10000 FT MSL     21           18           24           16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 6180                      7050
Transport Wnd (kts)                E 15                      SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  92700                     84600
Vent Category                      Good                      Good
RFTI                  0            0            0            0
RFTI Category         Nil          Nil          Nil          Nil

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$