082
FNUS74 KLZK 041510
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Red Blue Bluff WF...NPS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1010 AM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 CDT on July 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Trying this again. Apologies for another update, still fixing the
bugs on the few request form.

Scatted showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon
and evening. Showers could linger overnight before clearing out by
Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Max temperature.....93 at forecast start...Max 100.
Min humidity........62 percent at forecast start...Min 48 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Stability class.....3.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion..........42.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at forecast start...max 4.
Rainfall amount.....0.10 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.10 inches.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 7700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 8279 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....              S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  CHANCE
Temp............94     97     97     96
RH..............60     50     48     49
20 ft wind......SW 3   SW 5   SW 5   S 3
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     10
Transp wind dir.W      W      W      SW
Transp wind spd.15     14     13     12
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     20     30

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 70.
Max humidity........Max 100 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 6 to 12 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Stability class.....6.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Dispersion..........31 decreasing to 4 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.48 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.48 inches.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4447 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Temp............94     88     81     76     73     72
RH..............53     66     82     94     100    100
20 ft wind......S 3    S 2    NW 2   SW 2   W 2    NW 2
20 ft wind gust.10     7      6      6      5      6
Transp wind dir.SW     SW     NW     W      W      NW
Transp wind spd.12     12     12     9      7      6
Chc of pcpn (%).30     40     60     50     30     20

.FRIDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 90.
Min humidity........Min 39 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Dispersion..........24 increasing to 50 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 7071 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Temp............71     73     80     84     87     89
RH..............100    93     67     53     43     39
20 ft wind......NW 2   NW 2   NW 2   N 3    N 5    NW 5
20 ft wind gust.6      7      10     10     11     11
Transp wind dir.NW     N      N      NW     NW     NW
Transp wind spd.9      13     16     18     20     17
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     10     10     10     10

$$
Forecaster...J Condry
Requested by...Wimberly
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417356.4/LZK
.DELDT 07/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL fenn_wimberly@nps.gov