Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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849
FNUS86 KLOX 021556
FWLLOX

ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
856 AM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

ECC029-031000-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
856 AM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...Discussion from Monterey...

A Red Flag Warning is in effect for the North Bay Interior
Mountains, Marin and Sonoma Coastal Ranges, East Bay Hills, and the
Santa Cruz Mountains through late tonight with the North Bay
Interior Mountains RFW continuing until Wednesday evening. Northerly
winds are generally gusting in the 15-25 mph  range, with Mt. Diablo
gusting as high as 53 mph and Mt. St.  Helena gusting as high as
63 mph early this morning. RH values  will drop into the teens as a
prolonged hot dry pattern takes  hold this week. While fire weather
concerns extend beyond the  next couple days, winds should decrease
and switch back to onshore later in the week. While this may help
end the Red Flag Warning,  any 4th of July fireworks could easily
ignite the dry fuels.  Campers should be very careful with anything
dragging from  trailers and practice good campfire etiquette
including obeying  any restrictions.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...LONG DURATION OF ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TODAY INTO MONDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK FOR AREAS
AWAY FROM THE COAST DUE TO HOT TEMPERATURES, LOW HUMIDITIES, LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS, AND DRYING FUELS...

...POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY AND HOT SUNDOWNER WINDS TO BRING ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY,
I-5 CORRIDOR, AND WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...

Beginning today, and continuing into Monday, high pressure will
build into the region from the Eastern Pacific. This will bring a
significant and long  duration heat wave away from the coast from
today through at least Monday, and possibly into the middle of next
week. High temperatures between 100 and  110 degrees will be common
across the interior during this period, with  temperatures
potentially rising to between 110 and 115 degrees across the
Antelope Valley and San Luis Obispo County interior valleys during
the peak  of the heat Thursday through Saturday. Overnight lows will
also remain very  warm (especially in the mountains, foothills, and
Antelope Valley), adding  to the dangerous heat wave. Widespread
humidity values between 7 and  15 percent will likely occur across
the interior during this period, along  with poor humidity
recoveries, especially in the mountains, foothills, and  Antelope
Valley. Typical gusty onshore winds are expected across interior
sections in the afternoon and evening hours, with gusts of 20 to
35 mph  common. There is also the potential for gusty
sundowner/I-5 corridor winds  late Thursday into Friday night which
could bring hot and dry conditions into portions of southern Santa
Barbara county.

Given the very hot temperatures, low relative humidity, and locally
gusty winds, an extended period of elevated to brief critical fire
weather conditions are likely from today through at least Monday for
valley, foothill, mountain, and desert locations. Elevated to
critical fire weather conditions may expand into southern Santa
Barbara county if the sundowner winds develop late Thursday into
Friday night. From late Thursday through Friday night, there is a
20 percent chance of reaching Red Flag Warning durations for
southwest Santa Barbara county, and 40 percent for the I-5 corridor
and western Antelope Valley foothills.  The hot and unstable
conditions will also increase the threat of large vertical plume
growth for any fires that develop across the interior. The very hot
and dry conditions will also cause a significant drop in both live
and dead fuel moisture levels this week. These drying fuels combined
with the expected fire weather conditions and increased outdoor
activities associated with 4th of July festivities this week will
cause the large fire threat to become high for areas away from the
coast Tuesday through at least Monday. and possibly into the middle
of next week. This is a serious fire weather event, and a hazardous
heat event for human health.


$$

ECC028-031000-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
856 AM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...LONG DURATION OF ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TODAY INTO MONDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK FOR AREAS
AWAY FROM THE COAST DUE TO HOT TEMPERATURES, LOW HUMIDITIES, LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS, AND DRYING FUELS...

...POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY AND HOT SUNDOWNER WINDS TO BRING ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY,
I-5 CORRIDOR, AND WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...

Beginning today, and continuing into Monday, high pressure will
build into the region from the Eastern Pacific. This will bring a
significant and long  duration heat wave away from the coast from
today through at least Monday, and possibly into the middle of next
week. High temperatures between 100 and  110 degrees will be common
across the interior during this period, with  temperatures
potentially rising to between 110 and 115 degrees across the
Antelope Valley and San Luis Obispo County interior valleys during
the peak  of the heat Thursday through Saturday. Overnight lows will
also remain very  warm (especially in the mountains, foothills, and
Antelope Valley), adding  to the dangerous heat wave. Widespread
humidity values between 7 and  15 percent will likely occur across
the interior during this period, along  with poor humidity
recoveries, especially in the mountains, foothills, and  Antelope
Valley. Typical gusty onshore winds are expected across interior
sections in the afternoon and evening hours, with gusts of 20 to
35 mph  common. There is also the potential for gusty
sundowner/I-5 corridor winds  late Thursday into Friday night which
could bring hot and dry conditions into portions of southern Santa
Barbara county.

Given the very hot temperatures, low relative humidity, and locally
gusty winds, an extended period of elevated to brief critical fire
weather conditions are likely from today through at least Monday for
valley, foothill, mountain, and desert locations. Elevated to
critical fire weather conditions may expand into southern Santa
Barbara county if the sundowner winds develop late Thursday into
Friday night. From late Thursday through Friday night, there is a
20 percent chance of reaching Red Flag Warning durations for
southwest Santa Barbara county, and 40 percent for the I-5 corridor
and western Antelope Valley foothills.  The hot and unstable
conditions will also increase the threat of large vertical plume
growth for any fires that develop across the interior. The very hot
and dry conditions will also cause a significant drop in both live
and dead fuel moisture levels this week. These drying fuels combined
with the expected fire weather conditions and increased outdoor
activities associated with 4th of July festivities this week will
cause the large fire threat to become high for areas away from the
coast Tuesday through at least Monday. and possibly into the middle
of next week. This is a serious fire weather event, and a hazardous
heat event for human health.


$$

ECC031-031000-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
856 AM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...LONG DURATION OF ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TODAY INTO MONDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK FOR AREAS
AWAY FROM THE COAST DUE TO HOT TEMPERATURES, LOW HUMIDITIES, LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS, AND DRYING FUELS...

...POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY AND HOT SUNDOWNER WINDS TO BRING ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY,
I-5 CORRIDOR, AND WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...

Beginning today, and continuing into Monday, high pressure will
build into the region from the Eastern Pacific. This will bring a
significant and long  duration heat wave away from the coast from
today through at least Monday, and possibly into the middle of next
week. High temperatures between 100 and  110 degrees will be common
across the interior during this period, with  temperatures
potentially rising to between 110 and 115 degrees across the
Antelope Valley and San Luis Obispo County interior valleys during
the peak  of the heat Thursday through Saturday. Overnight lows will
also remain very  warm (especially in the mountains, foothills, and
Antelope Valley), adding  to the dangerous heat wave. Widespread
humidity values between 7 and  15 percent will likely occur across
the interior during this period, along  with poor humidity
recoveries, especially in the mountains, foothills, and  Antelope
Valley. Typical gusty onshore winds are expected across interior
sections in the afternoon and evening hours, with gusts of 20 to
35 mph  common. There is also the potential for gusty
sundowner/I-5 corridor winds  late Thursday into Friday night which
could bring hot and dry conditions into portions of southern Santa
Barbara county.

Given the very hot temperatures, low relative humidity, and locally
gusty winds, an extended period of elevated to brief critical fire
weather conditions are likely from today through at least Monday for
valley, foothill, mountain, and desert locations. Elevated to
critical fire weather conditions may expand into southern Santa
Barbara county if the sundowner winds develop late Thursday into
Friday night. From late Thursday through Friday night, there is a
20 percent chance of reaching Red Flag Warning durations for
southwest Santa Barbara county, and 40 percent for the I-5 corridor
and western Antelope Valley foothills.  The hot and unstable
conditions will also increase the threat of large vertical plume
growth for any fires that develop across the interior. The very hot
and dry conditions will also cause a significant drop in both live
and dead fuel moisture levels this week. These drying fuels combined
with the expected fire weather conditions and increased outdoor
activities associated with 4th of July festivities this week will
cause the large fire threat to become high for areas away from the
coast Tuesday through at least Monday. and possibly into the middle
of next week. This is a serious fire weather event, and a hazardous
heat event for human health.


$$

ECC024-031000-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
856 AM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...LONG DURATION OF ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TODAY INTO MONDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK FOR AREAS
AWAY FROM THE COAST DUE TO HOT TEMPERATURES, LOW HUMIDITIES, LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS, AND DRYING FUELS...

...POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY AND HOT SUNDOWNER WINDS TO BRING ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY,
I-5 CORRIDOR, AND WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...

Beginning today, and continuing into Monday, high pressure will
build into the region from the Eastern Pacific. This will bring a
significant and long  duration heat wave away from the coast from
today through at least Monday, and possibly into the middle of next
week. High temperatures between 100 and  110 degrees will be common
across the interior during this period, with  temperatures
potentially rising to between 110 and 115 degrees across the
Antelope Valley and San Luis Obispo County interior valleys during
the peak  of the heat Thursday through Saturday. Overnight lows will
also remain very  warm (especially in the mountains, foothills, and
Antelope Valley), adding  to the dangerous heat wave. Widespread
humidity values between 7 and  15 percent will likely occur across
the interior during this period, along  with poor humidity
recoveries, especially in the mountains, foothills, and  Antelope
Valley. Typical gusty onshore winds are expected across interior
sections in the afternoon and evening hours, with gusts of 20 to
35 mph  common. There is also the potential for gusty
sundowner/I-5 corridor winds  late Thursday into Friday night which
could bring hot and dry conditions into portions of southern Santa
Barbara county.

Given the very hot temperatures, low relative humidity, and locally
gusty winds, an extended period of elevated to brief critical fire
weather conditions are likely from today through at least Monday for
valley, foothill, mountain, and desert locations. Elevated to
critical fire weather conditions may expand into southern Santa
Barbara county if the sundowner winds develop late Thursday into
Friday night. From late Thursday through Friday night, there is a
20 percent chance of reaching Red Flag Warning durations for
southwest Santa Barbara county, and 40 percent for the I-5 corridor
and western Antelope Valley foothills.  The hot and unstable
conditions will also increase the threat of large vertical plume
growth for any fires that develop across the interior. The very hot
and dry conditions will also cause a significant drop in both live
and dead fuel moisture levels this week. These drying fuels combined
with the expected fire weather conditions and increased outdoor
activities associated with 4th of July festivities this week will
cause the large fire threat to become high for areas away from the
coast Tuesday through at least Monday. and possibly into the middle
of next week. This is a serious fire weather event, and a hazardous
heat event for human health.


$$

ECC032-031000-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
856 AM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...LONG DURATION OF ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TODAY INTO MONDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK FOR AREAS
AWAY FROM THE COAST DUE TO HOT TEMPERATURES, LOW HUMIDITIES, LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS, AND DRYING FUELS...

...POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY AND HOT SUNDOWNER WINDS TO BRING ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY,
I-5 CORRIDOR, AND WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...

Beginning today, and continuing into Monday, high pressure will
build into the region from the Eastern Pacific. This will bring a
significant and long  duration heat wave away from the coast from
today through at least Monday, and possibly into the middle of next
week. High temperatures between 100 and  110 degrees will be common
across the interior during this period, with  temperatures
potentially rising to between 110 and 115 degrees across the
Antelope Valley and San Luis Obispo County interior valleys during
the peak  of the heat Thursday through Saturday. Overnight lows will
also remain very  warm (especially in the mountains, foothills, and
Antelope Valley), adding  to the dangerous heat wave. Widespread
humidity values between 7 and  15 percent will likely occur across
the interior during this period, along  with poor humidity
recoveries, especially in the mountains, foothills, and  Antelope
Valley. Typical gusty onshore winds are expected across interior
sections in the afternoon and evening hours, with gusts of 20 to
35 mph  common. There is also the potential for gusty
sundowner/I-5 corridor winds  late Thursday into Friday night which
could bring hot and dry conditions into portions of southern Santa
Barbara county.

Given the very hot temperatures, low relative humidity, and locally
gusty winds, an extended period of elevated to brief critical fire
weather conditions are likely from today through at least Monday for
valley, foothill, mountain, and desert locations. Elevated to
critical fire weather conditions may expand into southern Santa
Barbara county if the sundowner winds develop late Thursday into
Friday night. From late Thursday through Friday night, there is a
20 percent chance of reaching Red Flag Warning durations for
southwest Santa Barbara county, and 40 percent for the I-5 corridor
and western Antelope Valley foothills.  The hot and unstable
conditions will also increase the threat of large vertical plume
growth for any fires that develop across the interior. The very hot
and dry conditions will also cause a significant drop in both live
and dead fuel moisture levels this week. These drying fuels combined
with the expected fire weather conditions and increased outdoor
activities associated with 4th of July festivities this week will
cause the large fire threat to become high for areas away from the
coast Tuesday through at least Monday. and possibly into the middle
of next week. This is a serious fire weather event, and a hazardous
heat event for human health.


$$

ECC030-031000-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
856 AM PDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...LONG DURATION OF ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TODAY INTO MONDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK FOR AREAS
AWAY FROM THE COAST DUE TO HOT TEMPERATURES, LOW HUMIDITIES, LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS, AND DRYING FUELS...

...POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY AND HOT SUNDOWNER WINDS TO BRING ELEVATED TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY,
I-5 CORRIDOR, AND WESTERN ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...

Beginning today, and continuing into Monday, high pressure will
build into the region from the Eastern Pacific. This will bring a
significant and long  duration heat wave away from the coast from
today through at least Monday, and possibly into the middle of next
week. High temperatures between 100 and  110 degrees will be common
across the interior during this period, with  temperatures
potentially rising to between 110 and 115 degrees across the
Antelope Valley and San Luis Obispo County interior valleys during
the peak  of the heat Thursday through Saturday. Overnight lows will
also remain very  warm (especially in the mountains, foothills, and
Antelope Valley), adding  to the dangerous heat wave. Widespread
humidity values between 7 and  15 percent will likely occur across
the interior during this period, along  with poor humidity
recoveries, especially in the mountains, foothills, and  Antelope
Valley. Typical gusty onshore winds are expected across interior
sections in the afternoon and evening hours, with gusts of 20 to
35 mph  common. There is also the potential for gusty
sundowner/I-5 corridor winds  late Thursday into Friday night which
could bring hot and dry conditions into portions of southern Santa
Barbara county.

Given the very hot temperatures, low relative humidity, and locally
gusty winds, an extended period of elevated to brief critical fire
weather conditions are likely from today through at least Monday for
valley, foothill, mountain, and desert locations. Elevated to
critical fire weather conditions may expand into southern Santa
Barbara county if the sundowner winds develop late Thursday into
Friday night. From late Thursday through Friday night, there is a
20 percent chance of reaching Red Flag Warning durations for
southwest Santa Barbara county, and 40 percent for the I-5 corridor
and western Antelope Valley foothills.  The hot and unstable
conditions will also increase the threat of large vertical plume
growth for any fires that develop across the interior. The very hot
and dry conditions will also cause a significant drop in both live
and dead fuel moisture levels this week. These drying fuels combined
with the expected fire weather conditions and increased outdoor
activities associated with 4th of July festivities this week will
cause the large fire threat to become high for areas away from the
coast Tuesday through at least Monday. and possibly into the middle
of next week. This is a serious fire weather event, and a hazardous
heat event for human health.


$$