778
FXUS62 KKEY 020301
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1101 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

For the most part it has been a quiet overnight thus far for the
Florida Keys. At one point we were watching an outflow boundary
move northward from collapsing thunderstorms that developed over
Cuba. This boundary made it to within throwing distance of the
Hawk Channel waters before quickly dissipating with no effects
felt on the island chain. The current radar trend has been a
continued decrease in precipitation echoes with no new activity
detected.

Confidence is lower tonight than last night. The surface inverted
trough that sparked off last night and this morning`s activity
has shifted to our west. There is a mid level inverted trough
still nearby but it remains to be seen if it can trigger new
convection. Models are conflicted on if new showers and
thunderstorms develop and where. They are trending that a restart
could happen during the early morning hours prior to sunrise
Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

No watches, warnings, or advisories are in effect. High pressure
over the western North Atlantic will maintain gentle to moderate
easterly breezes across the Florida Keys. Hurricane Beryl will
remain south of the Florida Keys as it marches west northwest
through the Caribbean Sea Tuesday through Thursday. Breezes will
freshen Wednesday and Wednesday night as Beryl makes its closest
approach. Please review the Tropical Cyclone Advisories for
additional information on the track and future evolution of Beryl.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

VFR conditions will be the predominant for the overnight. Still
waiting and watching for new convection to fire up and unsure
which terminals will see the best chances for new activity.
Otherwise, east to southeast winds will prevail through the
forecast period.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...LIW
Aviation/Nowcasts....LIW
Data Acquisition.....JAM

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