Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
741
FNUS52 KILM 050702
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
302 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid weather will continue for several days, with heat
indices regularly hitting the triple digits in the afternoon. A
cold front may bring a few showers and storms on Saturday. Next
week will remain quite hot with typical scattered thunderstorms
mainly each afternoon.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-052315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
302 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 2 1 3
Max/Min Temp 97 72 94
Min/Max RH (%) 52 91 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 7 G17 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 G18 S 5 S 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2100 80/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 71500 71400
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 59 Gen Good 8 Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-052315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
302 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 40
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 100 73 97
Min/Max RH (%) 43 93 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 6 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 S 4 S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.10
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 2 PM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0700 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7600 6300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98800 88200
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 64 Good 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 92 Good 7 Poor 87 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-052315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
302 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 97 74 95
Min/Max RH (%) 47 93 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 G18 S 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 G18 S 4 S 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2100 80/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7100 5200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 85200 72800
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 56 Gen Good 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 72 Good 6 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-052315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
302 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 10 60
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 100 74 96
Min/Max RH (%) 41 92 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 6 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 S 4 S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.21
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 11 AM
Precip End 12 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7800 6600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 93600 85800
ADI Early 58 Gen Good 97 Good 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 103 Very Good6 Very Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman