115
FXUS64 KHGX 021140
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
640 AM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 358 AM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024

A Heat Advisory will be in affect again this afternoon. Conditions
remain largely unchanged with high pressure continuing to maintain a
hold over SE Texas. Highs for today and Wednesday will be in the 90s
area wide, with a few locations potentially touching 100F. The
abundant moisture trapped under the ridge of high pressure will
combine with increasing temperatures and lead to heat indices
reaching into the 105-110F range through the near-term period.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue to be a possibility
in the afternoon with diurnal heating/sea breeze activity; however,
most of the region will remain rain-free.

Nighttime lows will provide little relief from the daytime heating.
Lows tonight and Wednesday night will be in the mid 70s to around 80F,
and with high humidity this will make for rather warm and muggy
conditions.

Continue to exercise heat safety, remember to look before you lock,
and if you have pets, remember that if it is too hot for the palm of
your hand it is too hot for their paws!

Adams

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 358 AM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Heat will continue on Thursday and Friday as the area remains under
the influence of mid/upper level ridging. High temperatures will once
again peak in the low to mid 90s closer to the coast and in the upper
90s to around 100 inland. A Heat Advisory will most likely be needed
once again for much of the area as heat index values approach/exceed
108 degrees. Saturday`s highs look to cool down a couple of degrees
with a similar downward trend expected on Sunday and Monday (highs in
the low to mid 90s) as central U.S troughing extends southward into
the state. In addition to this slight cooldown comes increasing chances
of showers and thunderstorms, especially in the Saturday through Monday
time period. We will also be keeping an eye on the track Beryl decides
to take as the latest National Hurricane Center forecast edges her still
south of but a little closer to the Texas/Mexico border. Please keep
up with their forecasts as the week progresses.

42

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 637 AM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024

VFR conditions at all sites currently. VFR expected to prevail
through this TAF cycle. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to
primarly stay east of the area. Could see isolated activity this
afternoon. Winds will generally be out of the south to southwest
and light.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 358 AM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024

Surface high pressure in the vicinity will result in light winds and
a more distinct landbreeze/seabreeze circulation today followed by a
more prevalent onshore flow as we head into mid and late week. We might
see another longer period swell arrive at some point this weekend in
association with Hurricane Beryl. Keep updated with the latest forecasts
on Beryl from the National Hurricane Center.

42

&&

.TROPICAL...
Issued at 358 AM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024

The latest National Hurricane Center forecast on Beryl weakens her to
a tropical storm and brings her to the south of the Texas/Mexico border
on Sunday. Please continue to monitor Beryl`s future forecasts from
the National Hurricane Center (hurricanes.gov) as any changes to the
track and/or intensity could result in a change in our area`s forecast.

42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 100  77  98  78 /   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)  98  79  95  80 /  10   0  20   0
Galveston (GLS)  94  83  91  82 /  10  10  20   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT this evening for
     TXZ163-164-176>179-196-198>200-300.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Adams
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...Adams
MARINE...42