112
FXUS61 KGYX 051306
AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
906 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Mostly dry conditions are expected, however scattered scattered
showers and thunderstorms are possible at times. Tonight, a low
pressure system moves into the region bringing widespread
showers and thunderstorms Saturday. Skies clear out on Sunday,
with a tranquil Monday expected before unsettled weather returns
to the forecast for Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

9:05am Update... A quick update to add a little more patchy fog
along the immediate coastline today. Scattered sprinkles and
showers continue across the area at times, and then more showers
and storms are still expected for the afternoon hours.

Update...
Have added more fog to the forecast for this morning. Have
updated the HWO for some dense fog early this morning along the
Midcoast region. The fog will slowly dissipate with time this
morning only to redevelop once again this evening.

Otherwise, very little in the way of changes to the forecast.

Prev Disc...
An old frontal boundary will remain over the region today. This
will allow for considerable cloudiness at times along with
scattered showers. As the atmosphere destabilizes with time, a
few thunderstorms may occur as well, mainly inland away from the
coastline.

High temperatures will be in the 80s, however cooler southerly
winds off the Gulf of Maine will keep temperatures in the 70s
along and near the coastline, especially the Midcoast region. It
will be muggy as well as surface dew points increase to near 70
degrees across southern portions of the forecast area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
A weak trough will approach from the west tonight continuing the
chance of showers or thunderstorms along with considerable
amounts of cloudiness. A few storms may produce locally heavy
rainfall. As a southerly gradient flow continues across the
region, marine fog will likely push inland once again which is
supported by the latest HREF scenario. It will be a mild night
with overnight lows in the 60s to lower 70s over locations such
as southern New Hampshire.

The trough will weaken but cross the region on Saturday. This
will allow for a slightly more robust coverage in the
precipitation across the region. It will continue to be warm and
muggy with high temperatures reaching the 80s in many locations
with dew points reaching the 70s. PWATs will continue to exceed
two inches in some areas with a couple storms potentially
bringing heavy downpours to the region.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Summary:

*Temperatures expected to run above average through early next week.

*Pleasant weather likely on Monday, through scattered storms
 return on Tuesday.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
 Discussion: Most of the inclement weather exits the region by
 Sunday morning, through a few showers might linger around up
 along the Canadian border. Otherwise, Sunday and Monday are
 forecasted to look and feel pleasant, with weak ridging nudging
 temperatures a little above average and much drier air in
 place as well. Unsettled weather returns to the forecast
 Tuesday and may continue through the rest of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Short Term...A front dissipates near the waters tonight, and
then lifts northward as a warm front tomorrow. Increasing
moisture leads to patchy dense fog developing tonight, and
likely lingering through at least tomorrow night. Conditions
remains below SCA through tomorrow night.

Scattered showers and storms and patchy LIFR conditions can be expected
tonight with the increase of more marine fog once again along
and near the coastline. Scattered showers and storms may be more
widespread on Saturday with periods of IFR conditions.

Long Term... Visibility improves by the
end of the day Saturday with thunderstorms possible. The storms
exit the region by Sunday morning with VFR likely. Pleasant
weather continues on Monday as well, but some fog is possible
along the CT River Valley and the Midcoast.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...A southerly gradient will allow for south winds to
gust to as high as 20 kt in the short term portion of the
forecast with conditions continuing below SCA thresholds. Marine
fog and low visibilities may occur.

Long Term... By Sunday morning, the low exits the
region, shifting and simmering winds down to 7-12kts from the
southwest. Seas decrease through the day Sunday too, with 2-4
foot seas by the end of the day. Seas and wind remain low on
Monday.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$


NEAR TERM...Clair
SHORT TERM...Cannon
LONG TERM...Palmer