Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
289
FNUS53 KGRR 040824
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
424 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
...Isolated Showers Today and Scattered Storms Friday...
.DISCUSSION...
Independence Day will be partly sunny but may become cloudy for
a time during the afternoon. Sprinkles or isolated light to
moderate rain showers may develop during the afternoon into
evening, especially south of Whitehall, Big Rapids, and Mount
Pleasant. Scattered thunderstorms are likely to pass through
Lower Michigan during parts of the day Friday.
MIZ037>039-043>045-042015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
424 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....81-86.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 43-48
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5900-6400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-660 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 4 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....60-65.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph
overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.17 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers until 2
PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of showers
after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........77-82 percent near Lake Michigan and 68-73
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 25
percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3000-3500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.34 in.
$$
MIZ040-046-042015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
424 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 86.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....740 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
after 6 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent toward daybreak.
Min temperature.....60-65.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the east
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....60-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and a
chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 7 mph shifting to the
southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the southwest
in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....510-940 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.31 in.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-042015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
424 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....81-86.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5900-6400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-390 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
showers until 11 PM. Chance of showers after 1
AM. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Showers likely
until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3500-4000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....610-1020 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-042015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
424 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6800-7300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....680-710 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
showers until 11 PM. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening then
30 percent toward daybreak.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....60-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers until 2
PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of showers
after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to west around
25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....540-1000 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.14 in.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-042015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
424 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 2 PM, then
partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
showers until 12 AM. Chance of showers after 3
AM. Chance of thunderstorms after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Showers likely
until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....79-84.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to west
around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....600-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.19 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
5 to 6 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
$$