Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 021958
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
358 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

...Showers and storms overnight into Wednesday...

.DISCUSSION...Showers will continue into early evening before there is a
lull. Another round of showers and storms will move in late tonight into
early Wednesday morning. None of these are expected to be severe.
Skies will clear late Wednesday morning into the afternoon.


MIZ037>039-043>045-030830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
358 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.31 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 11 AM, then mostly
                    sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........71-76 percent near Lake Michigan and 62-67
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and
                    unchanged Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    until midday.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3600-4100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-900 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-260 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........60-65 percent near Lake Michigan and 49-54
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 11
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5700-6200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....620-740 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-030830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
358 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 AM. Chance of showers
                    until 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....620-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-320 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....660-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-030830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
358 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-190 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms until 5
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    until midday.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3100-3600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-570 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4300-4800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-550 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-030830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
358 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2
                    AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms until 2
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....550-910 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....620-750 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-030830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
358 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2 AM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-190 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....720-750 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-180 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-640 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms overnight. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds
up to 5 mph shifting to the east 5 to 6 mph overnight.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 6 to
11 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$