573
FNUS53 KGRR 042202
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
602 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

...Isolated Showers This Evening...

.DISCUSSION...A few showers will move through West Michigan
this evening, mainly north of I-96, but will come to an end
around sunset. Meanwhile, partly to mostly cloudy skies
with a few sprinkles are possible in other areas during the
evening hours. Winds will remain light, with humid conditions
continuing and allowing significant recovery of relative
humidity values overnight. More showers and isolated storms
are expected on Friday across most of West Michigan, starting
in the morning and continuing throughout the day.


MIZ037>039-043>045-050830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
602 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....40-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 7 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3500-4000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....440-620 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-1.00 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 AM. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2000-2500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....130-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.58 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4000-4500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....390-520 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-050830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
602 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 11 PM. Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening then
precipitation 20 percent toward daybreak.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....40-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 11 AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers
                    likely after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500-780 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-1.04 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....130-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.15 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....390-550 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-050830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
602 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2
                    AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4200-4700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....590-910 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.12 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2100-2600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....170-380 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3600-4100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....450-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-050830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
602 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 PM. Slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening then
precipitation 20 percent toward daybreak.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....40-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to west around
                    20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....610-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.41 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....150-470 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....410-510 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-050830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
602 PM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 PM, then a
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening then
precipitation 20 percent toward daybreak.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the west
                    around 12 mph with higher gusts in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to west around
                    20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....580-1070 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.14 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-470 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to
6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$