Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
233
FNUS53 KGRR 050701
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
...Showers and Storms Today...
.DISCUSSION...Showers and storms are expected today, especially
north of I96. The first round will impact mainly the Manistee
National Forest area counties this morning, and the second will
affect all of West Michigan this afternoon. The heaviest rainfall
(0.5"-1") is expected near US10 with less further south. A moist
airmass keeps minimum RH values above 50 percent the next few days,
and winds remain below 20 mph so elevated fire weather conditions
are not expected.
MIZ037>039-043>045-052030-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Showers until 2 PM. Chance of
thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........78-83 percent near Lake Michigan and 64-69
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 20
percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3600-4100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....460-550 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.66 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 6 AM. Patchy
fog after 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-190 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.25 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then
mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of fog
until 9 AM.
Max temperature.....70-75.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-71 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3200-3700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.
$$
MIZ040-046-052030-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Chance of thunderstorms until 2 PM.
Showers. Thunderstorms likely after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....460-530 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.62 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after
12 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.27 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Areas of fog
until 9 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-430 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.14 in.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-052030-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4300-4800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....650-810 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog after
2 AM until 7 AM.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
2400-2900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-330 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then
mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM.
Max temperature.....70-75.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-71 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3100-3600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-052030-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Chance of showers until 2 PM. Chance of
thunderstorms. Showers likely after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....650-780 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.43 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2 AM. Patchy
fog after 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....130-310 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then
mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....390-520 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-052030-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
301 AM EDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
9 AM. Chance of showers and thunderstorms after
11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-780 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.20 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy fog after
4 AM until 6 AM.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....570-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 8 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
$$