699
FNUS74 KFWD 041839
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Palo Pinto 1864...TFS
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
139 PM CDT Thu Jul 4 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1326 CDT on July 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Sunny and hot weather will continue through the afternoon with
high temperatures arond 102 and minimum relative humidity just
below 30 percent. A south wind will prevail between 6 and 11 mph
along with some gusts around 16 mph. Wind speeds will fall below
10 mph after sunset. Clouds will increase overnight and humidity
recovery will be near 80 percent. There is a slight chance of
thunderstorms overnight and a better chance on Friday when a weak
cold front moves into the region. A wind shift will also accompany
the cold front on Friday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 102.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 3 mph.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  5   10  9   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............98  99  100 101 102
RH..............38  36  33  30  29
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..11  11  9   7   8
20 FT wind gust.16  15  14  15  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...6.3 7.4 8.3 8.8 8.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   9   9
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 3 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   10  11  12  13  26  39  51  56  60  65  70
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH SCH
Temp............102 100 98  93  90  89  87  84  82  81  79  78
RH..............28  29  33  40  44  47  50  57  63  65  69  71
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   7   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  S   SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...8.6 6.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  12  14  15  15  14  13  15  14  14  14  13
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 6 to 7 mph early in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast
                    10 to 15 mph early in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds around 2 mph shifting to the
                    northeast up to 3 mph early in the morning.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  80  83  86  89  86  83  80  75  71  67  68
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............78  77  78  80  83  84  84  85  87  88  89  90
RH..............74  76  76  74  67  65  65  63  55  55  50  49
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  13  12  13  13  13  13  14  14  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.0 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.7 3.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   NE
Transp wind spd.10  9   12  10  12  13  14  15  15  14  13  13
Haines index....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Fano
Requested by...TFS Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2400000.0/FWD
.DELDT 07/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu