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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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003 FXUS64 KFWD 120601 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 101 AM CDT Mon Aug 12 2024 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Today and Tonight/ Expect a hot and dry day for all of North and Central Texas, with afternoon highs ranging between 95-103. Heat indices will border on criteria for a few locations today, but for now we will hold off on issuing a Heat Advisory. Better moisture looks to return later in the week, so this will continue to be reassessed as we move further into the middle of the month. Otherwise, expect southerly winds with gusts up to 20 mph and mostly sunny skies. Overnight lows will stay warm in the mid to upper 70s, with a few locations within the Metroplex staying at or above 80. Skies will gradually clear overnight, resulting in quiet conditions. Reeves && .LONG TERM... /Issued 306 PM CDT Sun Aug 11 2024/ /Tuesday Through Next Weekend/ Grueling summer heat will be back in full swing this week as the upper level ridge strengthens overhead once again. High temperatures will top out in the triple digits for most locations each day, with the hottest temperatures expected Thursday through next weekend. The main caveat to this will be whether rain chances will return late in the week as there are some indications of a weakening in the ridge. However, even if this weakening occurs, there is good agreement among ensemble guidance that the ridge will strengthen again next weekend. Heat headlines will likely be needed for much of the upcoming week as heat index values will reach between 105-110 degrees for many areas on a daily basis. Warm nights will continue to offer little relief from the heat, so ensure you take all measures to protect yourself from heat- related illnesses throughout the week. Barnes && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /06 TAFs/ Concerns...None at this time. VFR conditions will prevail across all TAF sites through the period. Southerly winds around 10 to 15 knots will continue through tomorrow evening, with gusts upwards of 20 knots. Typical afternoon cumulus will likely setup across the area with few to scattered cirrus passing overhead through the day. Reeves && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 80 100 81 100 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 78 99 78 100 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 76 99 78 99 78 / 5 0 0 0 0 Denton 78 101 79 101 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 79 100 79 100 80 / 5 0 0 0 0 Dallas 80 102 82 102 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 77 99 78 99 78 / 5 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 78 100 79 100 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 76 99 76 100 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 77 101 77 102 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$