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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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992 FXUS64 KFWD 300004 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 704 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Tonight through Sunday Night/ Heat and humidity continues through the rest of the weekend with no major changes to the current forecast. At this hour, a few showers have developed across our very far southeastern counties but coverage will remain <10%. We`ll be watching a frontal boundary sag south across Oklahoma tonight where thunderstorms are currently ongoing. This front won`t make it into our area, but the boundary itself may provide a focus for additional convective development late tonight into Sunday across south/southeast Oklahoma which could clip our far northern/northeastern counties. We`ll have 20% PoPs to account for this possibility. Otherwise, temperatures will again be hot with overnight lows near record high minimums in the lower 80s and highs on Sunday near 100 again. The heat advisory will continue through the rest of the weekend. Dunn && .LONG TERM... /Issued 303 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/ Update: No significant changes were needed with this afternoon`s update. Hot temperatures will continue through the next week, with slightly less intense heat indices than the recent few days. Low storm chances (20%) are advertised for East TX Monday afternoon, with the greatest coverage remaining outside of the forecast area. A weak front nearing the region and additional low rain chances may bring a brief reprieve from the heat to the area on Days 7-8. Gordon Previous Discussion: /Sunday Night Through Next Week/ Widespread triple digit temperatures will continue throughout the week, with the hottest temperatures expected on Tuesday. Heat index values will be between 103-110 degrees each day, but >110 degrees should be less common than we experienced this week. Heat headlines will continue throughout the week for most (if not all) areas. There are some early indications that the ridge responsible for our hot and quiet weather will weaken and shift further west late next week. As a result, rain chances will return late in the week and potentially continue into next weekend. While most of the rain would occur Friday onward, it`s worth monitoring the forecast if you have any outdoor plans for the July 4th holiday, as timing is certainly subject to change over the next several days. Barnes && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /00Z TAFs/ VFR will prevail with south flow around 10 kt. No significant aviation concerns are expected at this time. Dunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 82 99 82 101 82 / 5 5 0 5 0 Waco 78 97 78 99 79 / 0 0 0 5 0 Paris 79 95 76 94 76 / 10 20 5 10 0 Denton 80 100 79 101 79 / 5 5 0 5 0 McKinney 81 98 78 99 79 / 5 5 0 5 0 Dallas 82 100 82 101 81 / 5 5 0 5 0 Terrell 78 97 78 98 78 / 5 5 0 10 0 Corsicana 79 98 80 99 80 / 0 0 0 5 0 Temple 77 98 77 100 77 / 0 5 5 5 0 Mineral Wells 78 99 78 101 78 / 5 5 0 5 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091>095-100>107-116>123-131>135-144>148-159-161-162. Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Sunday for TXZ091>095-100>107- 116>123-131>135-144>148-159-161-162. Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Sunday for TXZ115-129-130-141>143- 156>158-160-174-175. && $$