Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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764
FNUS75 KFGZ 131918
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Hillside...DFFM
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1218 PM MST Sat Jul 13 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Monsoon moisture will remain in place with a slight
chance of thunderstorms each day. Erratic/gusty winds in excess of
45 mph will be possible with thunderstorm be they overhead or in the
distance. Daytime temperatures will cool a few degrees with afternoon
minimum RH values ranging from 15 to 20 percent.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph until 10:00 AM shifting
                    to the west at 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1275.
Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL in the morning and early afternoon
                    increasing to 11700 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
                    southwest in the late morning and afternoon.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of evening
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 81.
Max humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......9.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 knots shifting to the north
                    after 3 am.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 15 mph. A few afternoon gusts
                    to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1255.
Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL in the morning and early afternoon
                    increasing to 10800 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 0 to 5 knots increasing to around 10
                    knots in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...MCCOLLUM
Requested by...PJ Lingley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417771.15/FGZ
.DELDT 07/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL plingley@dffm.az.gov