Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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695
FNUS54 KEPZ 011157
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
557 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue this afternoon. The main
concerns from these storms will be heavy rainfall that could lead
to flooding, gusty winds and frequent lightning. The 20ft winds
will be light to breezy and temperatures near the average. Tonight
recovery will be good to excellent. Showers and thunderstorms
will linger through the evening hours. For Tuesday, similar
conditions are expected. The 20ft winds will continue to be light
to breezy and the temperatures around the normal. For the rest of
the period, each day we will see continued chances for showers
and thunderstorms with Wednesday being the most active day. With
that being said, there will be no fire weather concerns across the
entire zones throughout the period.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.




NMZ110-011815-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
557 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....74-79.
*    Below 7500 ft....84-89.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (102000 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....57-61.
*    Below 7500 ft....63-68.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....74-79 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
                      of rain showers in the morning, then rain
                      showers with thunderstorms likely in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....74-79.
*    Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......80 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (81000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 81 to 86. West winds around
5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 87 to 92. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-011815-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
557 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....91-95.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........28-33 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 9700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75600 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........67-72 percent.
*    24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                      after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Showers likely
                      and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (62900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 90 to 95. West winds around
5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.

$$

NMZ112-011815-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
557 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (123200 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....69-74.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 70 to 75. Highs 92 to 97. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 95 to 100. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NMZ113-011815-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
557 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....74-79.
*    Below 7500 ft....84-89.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7200-8600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (107800 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....54-59.
*    Below 7500 ft....62-67.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....77-82 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Showers and
                      thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....77-82.
*    Below 7500 ft....86-91.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....36-41 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (111200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers with thunderstorms
likely. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 82 to 87. West winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
58 to 63. Highs 80 to 85. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

TXZ055-011815-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
557 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-99.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
*    24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91000 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....77-79.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........48-53 percent.
*    24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....98-102.
* Min humidity........19-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 13100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs 96 to 100. West winds
around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 97 to 101.
West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 70s. Highs 96 to 100. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TXZ056-011815-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
557 AM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....92-97.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (99500 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....71-75.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
*    24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.

.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance
                      of showers and thunderstorms in the
                      afternoon.
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75200 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 94 to 99. West
winds around 5 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 91 to 96. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$