Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
853
FNUS54 KEPZ 011916
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
116 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
.DISCUSSION...
No significant fire concerns expected. Monsoonal moisture remains
in place though some decrease is anticipated by Thursday.
Afternoon thunderstorms are expected for this afternoon and again
for Tuesday, lasting into the evening. Highest coverage is
expected for the mountains and western lowlands. Gusty winds would
be the main concern with any storm. Outside of storms, winds will
top out around 10 MPH. Venting will range good to very good
today, decreasing to fair to good tomorrow.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-021245-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
116 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-60.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....79-84 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* 24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
numerous showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....41-46 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7000-8600 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (74600 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-60.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....73-78 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then scattered showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-80.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6900-8500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 88 to 93. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
60 to 65. Highs 87 to 92. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 64. Highs 83 to 88. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-021245-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
116 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (64900 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Numerous
showers in the evening. Scattered
thunderstorms through the night. Scattered
showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* Max humidity........67-72 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
morning, then numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 96 to 101. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 96 to 100. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-021245-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
116 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....69-74.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........61-66 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (80900 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....71-76.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........26-31 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 74. Highs 96 to 101. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
68 to 73. Highs 92 to 97. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 71. Highs 90 to 95. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-021245-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
116 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....78-83 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3 until 0300, then 1.
* Haines index........3.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-81.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....31-36 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7700-9300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very Good (107800 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-61.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....76-81 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....67-72 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then numerous showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....74-79.
* Below 7500 ft....84-89.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 0900, then 4 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6600-8300 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 66. Highs 88 to 93. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 78 to 83. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 55 to 60. Highs 78 to 83. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-021245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
116 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....75-79.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........50-55 percent.
* 24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....98-102.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (87000 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....76-80.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....96-100.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 6 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (97000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 99 to 103.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the 90s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-021245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
116 PM MDT Mon Jul 1 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....71-75.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........3.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Isolated
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 12000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78000 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....72-76.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Numerous
showers and scattered thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* Min humidity........23-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (75900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 95 to 100.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 89 to 94. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 88 to 93. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$