Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
583
FNUS54 KEPZ 042006
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
206 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...
.DISCUSSION...
Daily showers and thunderstorms will continue through Saturday with
temperatures near normal during this time. RH`s will be in the
mid teens to around 30%, but winds will remain light. Some heavy rain
is possible over the burn scars Friday afternoon/evening. A dry air
intrusion moves in for Sunday with northwest flow moving in briefly.
Temperatures will get above 100 degrees for most of the lowlands
with RH`s into the single digits to lower teens most area. Moisture
pushes back in Mon/Tue with daily storm chances resuming.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-051230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
206 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....53-58.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......50 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....81-86.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....9-14 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-15 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......11200 ft AGL increasing to 15800 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (138000 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-56.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) then becoming partly
cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-85.
* Below 7500 ft....88-93.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....15-20 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....19-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 13700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (156400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 56 to
61. Highs 90 to 95. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
59 to 64. Highs 87 to 92. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 57 to 62. Highs 85 to 90. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-051230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
206 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........49-54 percent.
* 24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....96-100.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........14-18 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 13700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (140100 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-70.
* Max humidity........64-69 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....94-98.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (71000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 99 to 103. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 101. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-051230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
206 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....67-72.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (110500 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....65-70.
* Max humidity........71-76 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........21-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (85300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 98 to 103. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 90 to 95. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 68. Highs 90 to 95. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-051230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
206 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....82-87 percent.
* 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....49-54 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* 24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (44900 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....52-57.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....89-94 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2.
* Haines index........5.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....73-78.
* Below 7500 ft....82-87.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (113100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 88 to 93. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 74 to 79. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 53 to 58. Highs 78 to 83. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-051230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
206 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....74-79.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........54-59 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....94-98.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........26-28 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (135300 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....71-75.
* Max humidity........65-70 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....95-99.
* Min humidity........21-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (72500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 100 to 104. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs in the mid to
upper 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-051230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
206 PM MDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....71-75.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........64-69 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 2.
* Haines index........5.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely after 1200.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (123700 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-73.
* Max humidity........73-78 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
near 70. Highs 96 to 101. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 91 to 96. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 69. Highs 89 to 94. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
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