987
ABPZ20 KNHC 041351
TWOEP

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
650 AM PDT Thu Jul 4 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Special outlook issued to raise probabilities and update discussion
of the disturbance offshore of southwestern Mexico.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
Early visible satellite images indicate that shower and thunderstorm
activity continues to become better organized in association with an
area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles offshore of
the southwestern coast of Mexico. Additionally, the circulation of
the system appears to have become better defined since yesterday. If
these development trends continue, advisories will likely be
initiated on this system as a tropical depression this morning. The
system is forecast to move northwestward through tonight and then
turn westward on Friday, remaining offshore of the southwestern
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high....80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart