043
FNUS22 KWNS 011939
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0238 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

...Northern CA...
Confidence has increased that gusty northerly winds will likely
develop over parts of the northern Sacramento Valley late D1/Monday
night and continue through D2/Tuesday beneath a strong ridge of high
pressure. Extreme heat is also expected to support low humidity
among rapidly drying fuels. An Elevated area has been introduced for
the northern Sacramento Valley and adjacent foothills to cover
near-critical fire-weather potential.

...Southern Plains...
Extremely warm temperatures are expected to overlap with areas of
dry southerly return flow over parts of western OK and the TX
Panhandle D2/Tuesday. Afternoon highs over 100 F will allow for
diurnal RH minimums of 25-30% colocated with southerly wind gusts in
the 15-20 mph range. Ongoing flash drought has exacerbated area fuel
concerns and elevated fire-weather conditions are possible.

...Cascades and Columbia Basin...
Dry northwesterly flow is expected to overspread the Cascade and
western Columbia Basin ahead of the rapidly building ridge. Stronger
gusts are possible through the Columbia Gorge and Cascade Gaps, as a
weak upper trough moves around the eastern side of the ridge
tomorrow afternoon. While fuels are not overly supportive currently,
rapid drying and occasional gusts of 15-20 mph near the terrain may
support locally elevated fire-weather concerns for a few hours.

..Lyons.. 07/01/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0153 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024/

...Synopsis...
The mid-level trough responsible for fire weather conditions over
the Great Basin today will eject into the Plains states tomorrow
(Tuesday). Nonetheless, broad cyclonic mid-level flow will prevail
over the Interior West for the Day 2 period. Furthermore, a
mid-level jet streak will also approach from the northwest and
overspread the Pacific Northwest during the later part of Day 2. Dry
downslope flow is likely over the lee of the Cascade Ranges into the
Harney Basin in Oregon, as well as the Columbia Basin in eastern
Washington. Latest high-resolution guidance consensus depicts
Elevated-equivalent conditions constrained to mainly the higher
terrain. When also considering modest fuel receptiveness, fire
weather highlights have been withheld this outlook. However,
Elevated highlights may be needed in future outlooks if Elevated dry
and windy conditions become more prevalent in later guidance.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$