849
FNUS53 KDTX 012000
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
400 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.DISCUSSION...High pressure resides over the area today and tonight,
maintaining rain-free conditions and generally light winds. Dry
weather persists into Tuesday, before an increase in warmth and
humidity brings the next chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
night into Wednesday. Wind speeds increase each day with
southwesterly gusts in excess of 25 mph possible by Wednesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-012100-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
400 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....52-56.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3440-3940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (585).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........75-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (37).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm
                    until 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4280-4780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (782).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-012100-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
400 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3570-4070 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (607).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........74-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm
                    until 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3490-3990 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (707).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-012100-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
400 PM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph early in the evening becoming
                    light, then becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3750-4250 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (665).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....82-88.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3420-3920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (662).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the
mid 80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$

KGK